By most accounts, the Louisville Cardinals remain squarely on the bubble. And as we all know, most bubbles are round, which means you can fall off if not seated squarely on the top.
Most bracket assemblers have Louisville among their last four to six teams presently in the NCAA field, but with 11 days to go before the bids are officially announced, you don’t need Joe Lunardi telling you the situation changes day to day.
For the Cardinals, all they drew for their final home game of the season was the No.1 team in the country in Virginia. How tough can that be, right?
Here is how the college basketball odds have Louisville as a four-point home underdog and this will be only the second time they will be in the role this season. (The other was 12 days ago and they were eaten up by North Carolina 93-76 at Yum-Yum Center.)
It is really remarkable just how good the Virginia (26-2, 18-7 ATS) defense always is under coach Tony Bennett. When he left Washington State, there were plenty of skeptics who said Bennett’s defensive principles, which he learned from his dad, would be exposed in a league like the ACC.
Yet here we are with the Cavaliers first in the nation in scoring defense (51.1 PPG), third in two-point percentage allowed (37.5%) and fifth in three-point percentage allowed (29.6%) as we went to post this article. It is hard to play any better defensively and Virginia just drains the life out of opposing offenses.