The L.A. Clippers have passed two difficult road assignments in Memphis and Houston without their star guard Chris Paul and look for a sweep of their three-game road excursion in Minnesota.
The Timberwolves have not enjoyed the same luxury, losers of five of the last six (1-5 ATS) since Kevin Love broke his hand. Minnesota will be hoping a return to the chilly Twin Cities will heat up the offense and improve the defensive intensity. The T-Wolves have lost their last four outings (all on the road) by 15.7 points a game and permitted an average of 107.2 PPG in the process.
Minnesota is a 4.5-point home underdog and part of their offensive woes is the inability to connect from long range, shooting a pathetic 29.7 percent from three-point range, which is last in the NBA.
The Timberwolves most recent loss was on Monday night in Dallas 113-98 as 7.5-point underdogs. Given the Ti-Wolves current plight, they fit this extremely negative system.
Play Against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points, after playing three consecutive road games on exactly two days rest.
In the past five seasons, we find these teams 4-26 against the spread. If you tighten this system further, playing against teams like Minnesota in this spot improves percentage to 12-1 ATS since the 2010-11 campaign and is a perfect 3-0 this year. The Clippers really look like the right play since the average margin of loss by the squads that meet the criteria is 12.1 points.