For Tuesday we have a full slate of action and line moves on the diamond, hardwood and ice. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (123-77, 61.5% of late), to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.
NBA – (505) BOSTON at (506) CLEVELAND 8:30 ET TNT
Thus far in the Conference Finals, the OVER is 6-1 and if you go back to the start of the second round, the OVER is 20-8. With all the three-point shooting and teams pushing the ball off turnovers or missed shots, oddsmakers are having a tough time staying ahead of what is happening on totals. They are trying once again with the total up from 216 to 217.5 or higher depending on the sportsbook. With how basketball is being played these days, how do you go against this?
Betting Trend – 82% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over
NHL – (59) PITTSBURGH at (60) OTTAWA 8:00 ET NBCSN
After scoring five goals in five games versus Ottawa, Pittsburgh has 10 tallies in the last two contests and might be wearing down the Senators with their speed by finding more open lanes. Those betting hockey are not convinced the Penguins march to Stanley Cup Finals tonight and have lowered Pittsburgh from -150 to -140. Ottawa is 9-2 at home revenging two straight losses where the opponent scored three or more goals, but that is not in the playoffs and goalie Craig Anderson might just be crumbling after holding up as well as he has to reach this point. Do not be surprised to see more Pens money the rest of the day.
Betting Trend – 85% backing Pittsburgh
Doug’s VPID Take – Pittsburgh wins
Become a VPID member for Only $7.00 for 7 days and I Guarantee you will be saying “Give Me More” and we will set you up on auto renewal for only $39.99 a month for all sports, cancel at any time.
MLB – (953) COLORADO at (954) PHILADELPHIA 7:05 ET RTRM, CSP
Colorado has the best record in the NL at 29-17, they are the best bet in the majors at +14.8 units and they have the third-best road record in the majors at 16-7 (+11.7). With rookie starting pitcher German Marquez (2-2, 4.34 ERA) having a 2.84 ERA in his past three starts and 0.82 ERA in two road assignments, no wonder the Rockies are a growing favorite in Philadelphia. Colorado was sent out as -115 faves and are up to -135 or higher. The situation seems to further favor the Rocks with the Phillies losers of 18 of 22.
Betting Trend – 96% backing Colorado
Doug’s VPID Take – Colorado wins
MLB – (967) TEXAS at (968) BOSTON 7:10 ET FSSW, NESN
Texas is on a 11-1 tear, yet is blowing up as a road underdog from +160 to +180. The Rangers actually have a better record than Boston at 24-21 compared to 22-21. Why the lack of support by sportsbooks and the betting public? It starts with Andrew Cashner (1-3, 2.45). Cashner has about as poor a record on the road as any starting pitcher in baseball. In his last 17 away starts, Cashner is 0-8 (4-13 team record) and lifetime he is 9-30. Yet, one second, AL Cy Young winner Rick Porcello (2-5, 4.23) already has more losses than all of last year when he was 22-4 and he has a 5.69 ERA versus Texas. Maybe Cashner or the Rangers bullpen will falter, nevertheless, with Texas playing and hitting great and the Red Sox 7-14 off a win this season, seems worth a shot.
Betting Trend – 66% backing Boston
Doug’s VPID Take – Texas wins
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 115-122-8 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 63-62-3 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 168-177-11 ATS