Impactful Line Moves and Free Picks for Feb. 23rd


For fans of the NBA, they are glad it is back and so are we, giving us more line moves options. Besides pro hoops, we have a couple large line moves in college basketball. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (37-20 of late), to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.

NBA – (501) PORTLAND at (502) ORLANDO 7:00 ET CSNW, FSFL		With the remainder of the regular season at hand in the NBA, bettors are thinking oddsmakers are a little groggy after the break on figuring numbers and shoved this total from 213 to 217. Have to admit, this is really interesting line movement, given Orlando is 29th in scoring at 99.5 PPG. No question both teams have defensive issues, but I think the break and trade additions and subtractions will have to work themselves out and do not like the high total.

Betting Trend – 63% backing Under

Doug’s VPID TakePlay Under

NBA – (511) L.A. CLIPPERS at (512) GOLDEN STATE  10:35 ET  TNT

Los Angeles has not come close to Golden State this season, losing all three hook-ups by an average by 25.3 PPG. Despite this, the Clippers odds against the Warriors have been cut from +13.5 to +12. Maybe some are anticipating Chris Paul will play for L.A. or that they will just play better, having entered the All-Star break on a 4-0 SU and ATS run. This probably is a game to stay away from, but with how the season series has gone and where this Pacific Division game is being contested, for my money it is the Warriors or nothing.

Betting Trend – 82% backing Golden State

Doug’s VPID TakeLean Golden State 

CBB – (539) SOUTHERN MISS at (540) RICE 8:00 ET

Most times in the fall a C-USA matchup like this would not attract much attention, yet for some reason on the Thursday in late February we have falling favorite. Rice is having a nice campaign at 18-9 and sportsbooks opened them up as a -17 point favorite. Yet, remarkably, the Owls have flown to -14 versus an 8-19 Southern Miss crew. The Golden Eagles have not posted a road win this season (0-13) but could reach .500 on the spread side with a cover (5-6 ATS). Rice is only 2-6 ATS playing at home and is 1-3 ATS as a double digit favorite, thus, we can see the logic. No strong indicators going either direction, making this hard choice. Rice has the superior offense, which should get them over the hump at home at lower price.

Betting Trend – 89% backing Southern Miss

Doug’s VPID TakeLean Rice

CBB – (547) WISCONSIN at (548) OHIO STATE 9:00 ET  ESPN

Ohio State has floundered all year in lacking a team leader and they have been Play Against material all season at 9-17 ATS. At 5-10 SU and ATS in the Big Ten, those betting basketball are uncertain about their desire to compete and moved the Buckeyes from +5 to +7 against Wisconsin. The Badgers seem like an obvious choice, yet are only 4-8 ATS on the road and are not a sure thing to salt away a victory with a 66.5 free throw percentage. Just a small lean here with Ohio State not very good in somewhat slower game with 1-7 ATS record when the total is 130 to 139.5.

Betting Trend – 69% backing Wisconsin

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Wisconsin


Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 44-46 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 19-27-1 ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 61-71-1 ATS


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