Free Picks and Predictions on Line Moves for Sept. 13/14

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For line moves the next few days, let’s talk some football shall we! Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions (330-253-6 long term, 139-101-4 of late) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here tomorrow.

NFL – (101) BALTIMORE at (102) CINCINNATI  8:20 ET  NFLN

As impressive as Baltimore was last week, Cincinnati and Andy Dalton are not Buffalo and Nathan Peterman. With this the Ravens have caved from -2 to a Pick in the stadium formally known as “The Jungle”. I’m having a hard time going against Baltimore bunch that has been hot since August and is playing stellar physical football.

 Betting Trend – 76% backing Baltimore

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Baltimore

CFB – (103) BOSTON COLLEGE at (104) WAKE FOREST  5:30 ET ESPN

Because of the hurricane, the time of this ACC clash has been moved up to present time. What has also been moved is Boston College from -4 to -6 and the total from 53.5 to 56. This might be the Eagles best team in a decade, across the board talent-wise. Wake Forest always has to be looked at as an underdog because of their 11-2 ATS record in that role. Still, B.C. is 8-1 ATS off one or more covers winning by almost 16 PPG. Both defenses also keep the scoring down.

Betting Trend – 68% backing Boston College, 54% on Over

Doug’s VPID Take – Boston College covers and Under

CFB – Friday (105) GEORGIA STATE at (105) MEMPHIS  7:00 ET  ESPN

Holy Tigers! Memphis has blown up like me after eating a bag of chips from -22.5, all the way to -28. Maybe the Tigers are really angry after surrendering 21-9 lead at Navy and want to hurt someone. They are 12-3 ATS off a conference loss of three points or less. But this is a lot of points and Georgia State is none too shabby 22-10 ATS on the road. Here’s thinking Memphis loses interest after getting up big and wins by 26.

Betting Trend – 88% backing Memphis

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Georgia State

NFL – (261) INDIANAPOLIS at (262) WASHINGTON  1:00 ET  CBS

The Redskins evidently left a strong enough of an impression last week to garner support for their home opener and have been elevated from -4.5 to -6. However, this a team with many skeletons in the closet and they are 14-31 ATS in September home games.

Betting Trend – 72% backing Washington

Doug’s VPID Take – Coming Sunday

NFL – (271) KANSAS CITY at (272) PITTSBURGH  1:00 ET  CBS

Somebody is forecasting a potpourri of points in Pittsburgh Sunday, lifting the total from 50.5 to 53. Kansas City has a host of game-changers that can adjust a scoreboard in one play. The Chiefs allowed 28 points last week and it would have been more if Chargers receivers had not dropped sure TD passes. But should you think the other way with K.C.16-6 UNDER off an AFC West winner?

Betting Trend – 79% backing Over

Doug’s VPID Take – Coming Sunday

NFL – (273) MIAMI at (274) N.Y. JETS  1:00 ET  CBS

Oddsmakers made Miami a one-point favorite before the Jets played on Monday night. After Gang Green made Detroit look sickly, the Flyboys were flipped to field goal home favorites. Maybe this is too much on New York and it should be followed closely, nonetheless, the Jets are 12-4 ATS in Jersey versus the AFC under Todd Bowles.

Betting Trend – 66% backing N.Y. Jets

Doug’s VPID Take – Coming Sunday

NFL – (283) NEW ENGLAND at (284) JACKSONVILLE  4:25 ET  CBS

This line move caught me off guard. New England was only favored by two points over Jacksonville and they have been lowered to a Pick. While it is only two games, New England has seen two realistic spreads to start the season, not the usually juiced numbers we have grown accustomed to. Do you really bet against a team like the Pats who are 13-3 ATS on the road the last two seasons?

Betting Trend – 80% backing New England

Doug’s VPID Take – Coming Sunday

 

Public Consensus Record (2018) – 51% to 79% – 175-181-9 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2018) – 80% or Higher – 73-62-1 ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2018) – 265-254-10 ATS

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