Another great day for free picks on line moves with our second straight 4-1record! Let’s move ahead to baseball action on two fronts and Canadien football. Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions (258-202-3 run, 68-45-1 of late) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here the week of July 23rd.
MLB – (903) WASHINGTON at (904) N.Y. METS 7:10 ET MASN, SNY (side and total)
Washington won the first of this four-game series on Thursday night and would love a sweep going into the All-Star break. The Nationals are dwindling underdogs to New York, down 20 cents to +110, in spite of how poorly Tanner Roark (3-11, 4.76 ERA). Roark pitched in bad luck early but is 0-5 with a 7.76 ERA in his last six starts. The Mets are pleased to have Noah Syndergaard (4-1, 3.06) back after seven weeks with a right index finger ligament sprain. With Roark pitching so poorly and Mets bullpen always ready to implode, the total climbed from 7.5 to 8. I’ll take a couple of leans with New York and “Thor” to pitch well enough and take the UNDER because of two unreliable offenses.
Betting Trend – 59% backing New York and 68% on Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Leans New York and Under
MLB – (915) N.Y. YANKEES at (916) CLEVELAND 7:10 ET YES, STO
A classic pitching matchup last night turned into a run-fest as the Yankees beat Cleveland 7-4 with Severino and Kluber allowing two homers each. Evidently, things are supposed to be a little quieter as the total has dipped from 9.5 to 9 in Game 2 of the series. Rookie Shane Bieber (4-1, 3.47) has thrown exceeding well for the Indians and pounds the strike zone effectively. Domingo German (2-4, 5.06) has had his ups and down in 2018 and both offenses are averaging over 6 RPG in their last seven outings, which is why I like the OVER at the lower number.
Betting Trend – 56% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Over
MLB – (921) KANSAS CITY at (922) CHIC. WHITE SOX 8:10 ET FSKC, WGN
Have to admit to being amazed anyone would even bother to change the total from 9 to 9.5 in this extremely unimportant affair in the AL Central. It must be because the Kansas City offense is “on fire” scoring 4.3 RPG of late compared to a miserable season average of 3.5. Will the White Sox hold true to form and build on 14-1 OVER mark after scoring four runs or less in three straight games this season? I’ll say no, with James Shields (3-10, 4.53) of the Pale Hose 10-2 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 and the Royals 11-3 UNDER after two or more consecutive Over’s in 2018.
Betting Trend – 55% backing Under
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Under
CFL – (363) TORONTO at (364) EDMONTON 9:00 ET ESPN2, TSN
Toronto (1-2, SU & ATS) might be the defending Grey Cup champions, but bettors don’t care for them again this week. The Argonauts beat Edmonton (2-2, 1-3 ATS) 20-17 as 3.5-point favorites last week for their first victory, but were outgained by 71 yards. In the quick turnaround rematch, Toronto has sprouted from +7.5 to +9.5 point road underdogs. Though the Edmonton choice makes sense, this is a lot of points and the Eskimos are just 5-15 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points and 1-10 ATS after gaining 350 or more passing yards in their last game.
Betting Trend – 55% backing Edmonton
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Toronto
MLB – ARIZONA (+110) at ATLANTA (-130) (Series Betting)
Both these National League playoff contenders have stumbled recently, making this a tougher selection. Atlanta is the favorite in the opener thanks to Anibal Sanchez revitalizing his career. However, I’ll side with Arizona because Zack Greinke and Patrick Corbin have pitched more reliably than Sean Newcombe and Julio Tehran the last few weeks and the Snakes pen is also better.
Betting Trend – 55% backing Atlanta
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Arizona
MLB – OAKLAND (+130) at SAN FRANCISCO (-150) (Series Betting)
The Bay Bridge series commences tonight on the Frisco side with the Giants the series favorite. Madison Bumgarner and San Francisco are deserving favorites in Game 1, but well-traveled Edwin Jackson has pitched fantastic for an Oakland squad that is on a 13-3 tear. Let’s be honest, a Brett Anderson vs. Jeff Samardzija pick is plain terrifying on Saturday and it might be best decided by a coin flip. Oakland has the nod in the series finale with Sean Manaea. This should be three very competitive matchups and I’ll back the A’s with how they are playing.
Betting Trend – 54% backing San Francisco
Doug’s VPID Take – Oakland wins
Public Consensus Record (2018) – 51% to 79% – 137-127-6 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2018) – 80% or Higher – 54-55-1 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2018) – 174-180-7 ATS