We have lines move and free picks in basketball for the entire weekend. Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions (58-48-2 since Dec. 1) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here next week.
NBA – (571) TORONTO at (572) HOUSTON 8:05 ET ESPN
James Harden is playing basketball maybe as well as any player has in this period of games and he’s had to with Houston having so many injuries. While everyone marvels at his individual brilliance, they still fell Toronto is the better team and moved them from -1 to -3 on the road. The Rockets are only 3-7 ATS of late and two of those defeats came as underdogs. However, the Raptors are only 5-8-1 ATS as road faves and I’ll lean with Harden and Houston at this many points
Betting Trend – 55% backing Toronto
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Houston
NBA – (573) SACRAMENTO at (574) MEMPHIS 8:05 ET FSS
Sacramento might only be 1-3 SU and ATS on their current road trip, but Memphis 1-13 and 2-12 ATS everywhere they have played since Dec.29th. That is why it is completely perplexing why the Grizzlies have gone from a Pick to -2.5. This seems so obvious, which in the NBA is usually a sign the spread is correct, still, the Kings are 12-4 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season.
Betting Trend – 63% backing Memphis
Doug’s VPID Take – Sacramento covers
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CBB – Saturday – (667) IOWA STATE at (668) OLE MISS 12:00 ET ESPN
As our anticipated spread states, I expect this to come down to the final minute and Iowa State’s guards will be the difference in what should be a wildly entertaining game.
Anticipated Line – One point either way
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Iowa State (at these numbers)
CBB – Saturday – (705) KANSAS at (570) KENTUCKY 6:00 ET ESPN
Kentucky is on the rise across the board and its young players are really maturing and playing team basketball. In my opinion, Kansas was overrated to begin with (7-11-1 ATS) and losing center Udoka Azubuike makes them small up front, which should allow the Wildcats to control the paint. Kentucky by at least 8.
Anticipated Line – Kentucky by 4 to 5.5 points
Doug’s VPID Take – Kentucky covers
CBB – Saturday – (745) AUBURN at (746) MISS. STATE 8:30 ET SECN
The loser of this contest falls to 2-4 in the SEC. Look for the home court to be the deciding factors which propel Mississippi State to a victory and leaves Auburn with a third straight setback.
Anticipated Line – Miss. State by 1 to 3 points
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Mississippi State
CBB – Saturday – (783) BELMONT at (784) AUSTIN PEAY 4:30 ET ESPN+
You should start paying attention to the Ohio Valley Conference, they have four, maybe five really good teams that are fun to watch. Belmont just handed Murray State its first conference loss, on the road no less. But not sure they can pull that off twice in three days on the road and will back Austin Peay.
Anticipated Line – Pick to Belmont -2 points
Doug’s VPID Take – Austin Peay covers
NBA – Saturday – (505) GOLDEN STATE at (506) BOSTON 8:35 ET ABC
Some might view this as an NBA Finals preview if Boston gets their act together before the regular season ends and moves up to at least be the No.3 seed in the East. But Golden State is on a nice 5-2-1 ATS move and both spread losses were by a single point. The Warriors show up and flex.
Anticipated Line – Pick to Golden State -2
Doug’s VPID Take – Golden State covers
NBA – Sunday – (515) MILWAUKEE at (516) OKLAHOMA CITY 6:05 ET ESPN
An excellent matchup, with some real star power in Giannis Antetokounmpo and Paul George. I’m siding with Milwaukee because they are No.1 in field goal percentage defense and Oklahoma City has allowed 120.8 PPG in their last seven outings, not including OT.
Anticipated Line – One point either way
Doug’s VPID Take – Milwaukee covers
Public Consensus Record (since 12/1/18) – 51% to 79% – 42-33-3 ATS
Public Consensus Record (since 12/1/18) – 80% or Higher – 12-6 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (since 12/1/18) – 53-40-3 ATS