Amazingly, no line moves in the NFL at this time. Instead, we will focus on the NBA for Friday and at some of the big games in college basketball on Saturday. Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions (45-38-2 since Dec. 1) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here next week.
NBA – (551) BROOKLYN at (552) TORONTO 7:35 ET YES, SN1
We have a three-point jump in the total to 222.5 in this Atlantic Division contest. This is largely due to both these teams trending towards higher scores with Toronto 7-3 OVER in last 10 and Brooklyn 4-2 OVER. I’ll go along with how this is trending with the Nets 18-8 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points and the Raptors 11-3 OVER at home after one or more wins this season.
Betting Trend – 79% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Play over
NBA – (557) L.A. LAKERS at (558) UTAH 10:05 ET ESPN
Various Lakers players have been catching heat about their lack of emotion in their play with LeBron sidelined. In their last two outings, those individuals played with more passion and won their previous two contests, ending their three-game losing streak. With Utah only 4-3 SU and ATS in their last seven tries, L.A. is down from -9.5 to -8 at the Jazz. We do lose a little value on Los Angeles, but still feel confident to back them with Utah 1-8 ATS having won three of their last four games this season.
Betting Trend – 58% backing Houston
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean L.A. Lakers
CBB – Saturday – (612) VIRGINIA at (613) CLEMSON 12:00 ET ACCN
Unbeaten Virginia should roll Clemson even on the road. This is a deep, talented and more athletic team than what is given credit for. The Tigers have been ordinary to this point and unless they come ready to play and are willing to be patient in shot selection, they could be in trouble. Expect the Clemson crowd and the players to be fired up and chances are Dabo Sweeney and some of his players make an appearance with their new hardware. Clemson hangs for a half, then the Cavs take over.
Anticipated Line – Virginia by 7 to 9 points
Doug’s VPID Take – Virginia covers (at these numbers)
CBB – Saturday – (645) TEXAS TECH at (646) TEXAS 2:00 ET LHN
Texas Tech is playing phenomenal defense, while Texas is 5-5 since beating North Carolina. The Red Raiders just has to squeeze the Longhorns on the three-point line and force them to try and penetrate their stingy defense. Texas is capable of playing great, but can the Horns be trusted? Texas Tech puts this one away late.
Anticipated Line – One point either way
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Texas Tech
CBB – Saturday – (657) DUKE at (658) FLORIDA STATE 2:00 ET ESPN
Florida State was no match for Virginia’s defense last Saturday, losing by 13. Now back home, the Seminoles have another arduous test with a team stuffed with NBA talent. From a matchup standpoint, the Noles are better in an up and down game, yet, Florida State teams are notorious for backing away from the heat when the going gets tough. Despite FSU’s 2-9 ATS record of late, let’s call for them to lose by single digits.
Anticipated Line – Duke by 10 to 12 points
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Florida State
CBB – Saturday – (757) GONZAGA at (758) SAN FRANCISCO 10:00 ET ESPN2
These are the two remaining unbeaten teams West Coast Conference action. We know how good Gonzaga is but San Francisco is an under the radar team at 14-2 and 10-4-2 ATS. The Dons will be stoked, yet, are lacking in the athleticism area. If San Fran can make shots and rebound, they can make this a game. If the Zags are running and controlling the glass, they win by 15+ points. Tough call but will go with Gonzaga’s better ability.
Anticipated Line – Gonzaga by 9 to 11 points
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Gonzaga
Public Consensus Record (since 12/1/18) – 51% to 79% – 38-30-3 ATS
Public Consensus Record (since 12/1/18) – 80% or Higher – 9-3 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (since 12/1/18) – 47-33-3 ATS