Football must be coming to a close as we go into multiple sports line moves for a Thursday. Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions (44-36-1 since Dec. 1) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here tomorrow.
NBA – (537) BOSTON at (538) MIAMI 7:05 ET TNT
After losing three in a row, Boston has won seven of nine (7-2 ATS), including four in a row. Miami had a similar stretch leading up to Christmas at 7-2 (8-1 ATS), but since Santa Claus returned to the North Pole, the Heat have cooled off at 3-4 (3-3-1 ATS). NBA bettors have jumped on the C’s and pushed from -1 to -2.5. There is a case to be made for choosing the Heat since they are 18-5 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite. Nevertheless, the Celtics are 14-2 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more and if you the C’s like I do, the SU winner of a Boston game is 29-0 ATS the last two months.
Betting Trend – 64% backing Boston
Doug’s VPID Take – Boston covers
CBB – (621) SMU at (622) CONNECTICUT 7:00 ET CBSSN
UConn might be averaging 78.5 PPG, but their offense has been less reliable of late. Scratch there 60% shooting night against Drexel when they tallied 97 points on Dec. 18 and in their five other most recent contests the Huskies have failed to shoot better than 42% and averaged a mere 62.2 PPG. That is why the total in this AAC affair has collapsed from 145 to 140. SMU has held opposing teams to just 66.4 PPG, but they have played a weaker schedule than UConn. Let’s call this an overreaction and take the OVER, with the Mustangs 11-3 OVER having covered three of four and the Huskies 13-4 OVER after a loss by double digits.
Betting Trend – 65% backing Under
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over
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CBB – (657) WASHINGTON at (658) UTAH 10:00 ET FS1
Time to speak the truth, Pac-12 basketball sucks and there is ample discussion at this time that this power conference might only send its tournament champ to the Big Dance. However, put a point spread on a game and that changes the dynamics. Washington visits Salt Lake City and the Huskies have been altered from a Pick to a two-point road favorite. Washington is an ordinary shooting team but plays good defense. The Utes are only a .500 team but they have shot the ball better lately and earned a road split in Arizona, covering both games. With Utah 5-1 SU at home and the Huskies only 2-4 SU and ATS away from Seattle, it’s the Utes outright.
Betting Trend – 57% backing Washington
Doug’s VPID Take – Utah covers
NHL – (17) FLORIDA at (18) EDMONTON 9:05 ET FSFL, RSW
If you discount OT, both these teams have .500 records. But OT losses count from a wagering perspective. Edmonton was made a -140 ML favorite but has fallen to -120, having lost eight of 10. Florida is on a three-game losing streak is not going to remind anyone of Jessica Wilde of Instagram fame. Realistically, not much to choose from, thus, I’ll take the Oilers in a revenge spot where they are 8-2 having scored just once in defeat.
Betting Trend – 66% backing Edmonton
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Edmonton wins
Public Consensus Record (since 12/1/18) – 51% to 79% – 37-30-2 ATS
Public Consensus Record (since 12/1/18) – 80% or Higher – 9-3 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (since 12/1/18) – 46-31-2 ATS