We are finally back to start doing line moves for months, with hopefully fewer interruptions. Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions (21-15-1 in 2019) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here tomorrow.
NBA – (547) L.A. CLIPPERS at (548) CHARLOTTE 7:05 ET PRIME, FFSO
Which Charlotte team shows up on Tuesday night? That will determine if lowering the total by two points to 224 was right move. The average score of a Hornets game in their last five tries has been 211, a far cry from the Clippers at 230 points over the same period. Yet, this past Saturday, Charlotte and Chicago played no defense and the Hornets won 125-118. How will this play out? Tough call, but I’ll stick my neck out and say the OVER works with the Clips 35-17 OVER after allowing 115 or more points and Charlotte 17-7 OVER after two or more wins.
Betting Trend – 51% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Over
NBA – (553) TORONTO at (554) PHILADELPHIA 8:05 ET TNT
Big game in the Atlantic Division as Philadelphia tries to climb within two games of front-running Toronto. The 76ers were sent out a four-point favorite, but have been backed down to -2.5 by those betting NBA basketball. Normally, I consider playing against a team back home like the Sixers off a four or more games road trip. However, that is with one or less days rest. Philly has been off for two days and is 17-6 ATS at home when playing with that amount of time off.
Betting Trend – 69% backing Philadelphia
Doug’s VPID Take – Philadelphia covers
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CBB – (625) MICHIGAN at (626) RUTGERS 8:00 ET BTN
Michigan is like Austin Powers, they have lost their mojo, losing twice in their past five outings after a 17-0 start. With the Wolverines offense being forced to play slower and not shooting well either, they have averaged only 61 PPG in their past five contests. Rutgers has not scored well anywhere, which is why they only average 66.9 PPG. That was why initially it was a touch surprising to see the total climb from 123.5 to 126, seemingly driven by influential money if you look at the betting trend. Then I dug deeper and found Michigan is 6-0 OVER in road games after one or more losses and 8-0 OVER as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points.
Betting Trend – 79% backing Under
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over
CBB – (635) KANSAS at (636) KANSAS STATE 9:00 ET ESPN (side and total)
Kansas might be 17-4 and 16-5 ATS at Kansas State since 1997, but basketball bettors are not certain that continues. The Jayhawks have been altered from +1 to +3 point road underdogs because in their last half dozen away affairs they are 1-5 and 0-5-1 ATS. The Wildcats are 10-1 SU at home this season, winning by 6.8 PPG, which is hardly overwhelming and why they are 4-7 ATS. If K-State is going to get Kansas, this would seem to be the spot, but look for Bill Self to convince his team they own this game in the Little Apple. The total skyrocketing from 128 to 134 would also seem to indicate the Jayhawks could score more and they are 6-0 OVER when the total is 130 to 139.5.
Betting Trend – 70% backing Kansas State and 96% on Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Kansas covers and Over
Public Consensus Record (2019) – 51% to 79% – 7-7-1 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2019) – 80% or Higher – 5-3ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2019) – 12-10-1 ATS