Free Picks and Predictions on Line Moves for Dec. 19


In line moves today we take a look the Hump Day bowl battle (side & total) and both betting aspects of an NBA contest. Plus, a look ahead to the weekend bowl games with line moves. Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions (464-374-13 in 2018) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here tomorrow.

Bowls – (213) OHIO U. vs. (214) SAN DIEGO STATE  8:00 ET  ESPN (side and total)

Ohio U. opened as a 4.5-point favorite, but as game time neared, they were down to -3 or -2.5, depending on the sportsbooks. The same was also true of the total, as that went south from 54 to 51. There is a belief that San Diego State’s No.4 run defense will really slow Ohio’s No.9 running game. With the Aztecs having allowed 214 yards to the Air Force and 199 yards to UNLV on the ground, I’m less convinced and I’ll give points, especially at -3 or less. Both head coaches have strong UNDER tendencies and I will concur.

Betting Trend – 57% backing Ohio U. and 57% on Over

Doug’s VPID Take – Ohio U. covers and Under

NBA – (555) SAN ANTONIO at (556) ORLANDO  7:05 ET  FSSW, FSFL (side and total)

In each of the last two seasons, Orlando has had an opportunity to sweep San Antonio in the season series and failed to do so. Having won at San Antonio 2 1/2 months ago, the Magic hope the third time is a charm. Hoops are bettors are betting that won’t happen and have sent the Spurs from -1 to -3.5 point road favorites. The other changing element to this contest is the total, which is up a whopping four points to 211. Both teams have been playing excellent defense lately, thus, the UNDER makes more sense. On the side action, San Antonio’s play has improved, yet, they are still 4-10 SU on the road so let’s take the points with Orlando.

Betting Trend – 75% backing San Antonio and 65% on Under

Doug’s VPID Take  – Orlando covers and Under


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BOWLS – 12/21(219) BYU vs. (220) WESTERN MICH.  4:00 ET  ESPN

The total in the Potato Bowl has gone from 48 to 50. BYU’s quarterback change made the offense more productive and they averaged over 35 PPG in their last three outings compared to 23 PPG before that. Western Michigan scores and allows more than 33 PPG, thus, the switch makes sense.

Betting Trend – 80% backing Over

Doug’s VPID Take – Coming Friday

BOWLS – 12/22 (223) HOUSTON vs. (224) ARMY  3:30 ET  ESPN

 Sharp football bettors thought oddsmakers made an egregious error on the total of the Armed Forces Bowl and dropped it from 67.5 all the way down to 59.5. Since Tuesday, the number has come up a little to 60. Because of Houston’s quick-strike ability and just pathetic tackling defense, the oddsmakers made a higher total. Bettors are looking at Army’s No.1 time of possession offense and them permitting only 18 PPG and thought differently.

Betting Trend – 83% backing Under

Doug’s VPID Take – Coming Friday

BOWLS – 12/22 (225) BUFFALO vs. (226) TROY  7:00 ET  ESPN

The Dollar General Bowl has seen a discount in the total, having slid from 53 to 49 points.

Troy only scored 22 points in their last two contests and they permitted just 21.2 PPG all season. Buffalo has a good looking offense, however, the last half of the season the defense was literally hit or miss. Does Troy at 7-0 OVER as bowl team matter?

Betting Trend – 62% backing Over

Doug’s VPID Take  Coming Friday

BOWLS – 12/22(227) LOUISIANA TECH at (228) HAWAI’I 10:30 ET  ESPN

The Hawai’i Bowl is being counted on to deliver more points, as the total climbed from 57 to 61. Louisiana Tech only scored 24.2 PPG on the season, but they will be facing a Rainbow Warriors defense which was lit up for 42.1 PPG over their last half dozen starts. The Bulldogs did close the season on an 8-1 UNDER run.

Betting Trend – 96% backing Over

Doug’s VPID Take – Coming Friday


Public Consensus Record (2018) – 51% to 79% – 267-269-15 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2018) – 80% or Higher – 113-98-2 ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2018) – 387-388-17 ATS


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