Let’s dive in and take a look at line moves for Wednesday, covering the NBA, college hoops and look ahead to the bowl games Saturday. Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions (457-368-13 in 2018) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here tomorrow.
NBA – (549) OKLAHOMA CITY at (550) NEW ORLEANS 8:05 ET ESPN
This Western Conference clash was sent out as a Pick by oddsmakers, but the betting action is tracking the Thunder, with Oklahoma City now at -2. This stands to reason with OKC 14-4 SU and 12-6 ATS since November began. New Orleans has been laboring since Nov. 21st with a 4-8 and 5-7 ATS record, mostly due to being 28th in points allowed. There would seem to be value on the Pelicans as a home underdog with their 10-4 SU record in the Big Easy, but they are 1-9 ATS off a road loss this season.
Betting Trend – 67% backing Oklahoma City
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Oklahoma City
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CBB – (701) COLUMBIA at (702) BOSTON COLLEGE 7:00 ET ACCN
Boston College opened as a 16-point favorite over Columbia, which seemed about right when studying various power ratings. Yet, those making college basketball picks did not think so and the Eagles have landed at -12. Part of the trepidation is Columbia, in spite of a 3-6 record, makes 11 three’s a game, compared to B.C. who is at six. But the Lions are a poor defensive team away from home, permitting 83 PPG on 47.5% shooting. Columbia might have been worth a look at the higher price, but with Boston College 6-0 ATS at home after failing to cover the spread in two or more games and they are my choice.
Betting Trend – 58% backing Columbia
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Boston College
CBB – (705) LSU at (706) HOUSTON 9:00 ET ESPN2
Kelvin Sampson might fit the M.O. of an unscrupulous coach, but he knows how to coach and his Houston team is 8-0 (5-2 ATS). The Cougars are home and were released as a 6.5-point favorite over a solid LSU crew who is 7-2 (4-5 ATS). Hoops bettors are not convinced Houston is quite that good and the Cougs are now down to -4.5. Even Sampson admits his team’s schedule has contributed to its fast start, still, at this price, the Tigers are only 3-12 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3-point shots a game. Let’s keep our fingers crossed and back Houston.
Betting Trend – 54% backing Houston
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Houston
BOWLS – 12/15 – (201) NORTH TEXAS at (202) UTAH STATE 2:00 ET ESPN
Utah State opened as an 11-point favorite after a sensational 10-2 season, in which they won 10 in a row. But a disappointing loss at Boise State cost the Aggies a chance to play for the MWC title and the following week their head coach left for green pastures (money). With football bettors thinking about that and the potential North Texas has after a somewhat underachieving season at 9-3, Utah State has fallen all the way to -7.5. However, the Mean green enter the New Mexico Bowl with a 1-7 ATS mark.
Betting Trend – 68% backing North Texas
Doug’s VPID Take – Coming Friday
BOWLS – 12/15 – (207) EASTERN MICHIGAN at (208) GEOR. SOUTHERN 5:30 ET ESPN
The Camellia Bowl opened as a Pick but has since seen Georgia Southern climb to -2.5. Both these teams are nicknamed the Eagles and the G.S. Eagles have more team speed and run the option offense. The E.M. Eagles played Army, who runs a similar offense and they lost 37-22. Nevertheless, Eastern Michigan is 25-12 ATS since 2016 and 17-5 ATS as an underdog.
Betting Trend – 64% backing Georgia Southern
Doug’s VPID Take – Coming Friday
Public Consensus Record (2018) – 51% to 79% – 259-261-15 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2018) – 80% or Higher – 113-98-2 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2018) – 382-377-17 ATS