For line moves, we have another big weekend of action with baseball and some CFL action. Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions (277-214-4 run, 85-57-2 of late) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here next week.
MLB – (903) ST. LOUIS at (904) PITTSBURGH 7:05 ET FSMW, ATT-P (side and total)
With the Cubs playing mediocre baseball, this is the Cardinals or Pirates chance to gain ground on them and Milwaukee, as they open up this series. This opening contest has seen line moves both on the money line and the total. Pittsburgh is up 20 cents to -155 and took the total with it from 8 to 8.5. Chris Archer (3-5,4.31 ERA) makes his Bucs debut and his new teammates have won 16 of their last 20. John Gant (3-4, 3.49) will toe the rubber for the Redbirds. I will go for the upset with the Cards with Pitt 0-10 after a loss by six or more to a division rival. The OVER also makes sense from this perspective.
Betting Trend – 72% backing Pittsburgh and 55% on Over
Doug’s VPID Take – St. Louis wins, lean Over
MLB – (907) CINCINNATI at (908) WASHINGTON 7:05 ET FSOH, MASN
Yesterday I gave you a totals winner on this NL affair and those betting baseball have moved the total again in this series. The same thing occurred, the total has been raised from 9 to 9.5 with Gio Gonzalez (6-7, 3.78) opposing Anthony DeSclafani (4-3, 5.47). Since scoring one run in final two games against Miami, Washington has exploded for 40 runs in winning three straight. One would think the Nationals would score runs against this Reds starter. Though Gonzalez has solid Under tendencies, Cincy is 24-8 OVER after three or more consecutive road games this season.
Betting Trend – 76% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over
MLB – (915) N.Y. YANKEES at (916) BOSTON 7:10 ET YES, NESN
After scoring six runs in three contests, Boston unloaded on Yankees pitching and hung 15 on the scoreboard Thursday night. When looking at Luis Severino’s (14-4, 2.94) four-game stretch where he’s been hit hard and Rick Porcello (13-4, 4.08) being up and down like a 14-year old at a Bruno Mars concert, the total jumped from 9 to 9.5. Both pitchers are capable of lockdown performances, but I’ll agree with the line movement and these pitchers are a combined 30-9 OVER in trends I like to follow.
Betting Trend – 67% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over
CFL – Saturday – (377) BRITISH COLUMBIA at (378) CALGARY 9:00 ET TSN, ESPN+
Calgary is 6-0 and crushing the competition, winning by 18.5 PPG. With British Columbia’s offence scoring just 21.6 PPG, the total has slid from 52 to 50.5. I’m inclined to agree with where the total is headed with Calgary 5-1 UNDER this season and 20-7 UNDER at home after gaining 200 or less passing yards in their last game.
Betting Trend – 69% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Under
MLB – COLORADO (+120) at MILWAUKEE (-140) (Series Betting)
Colorado should have won their four-game series at St. Louis this week, but again their bullpen gave games away and they ended up losing it to the Cardinals. The starting pitching matchups look competitive and the Rockies could have the edge if Jon Gray (scheduled Sunday) pitches like he has been since coming back from Triple-A demotion. However, that Rockies bullpen is like a cloud hanging over this team and if the games are tight going into the later innings, Milwaukee would have a real edge, making them my choice.
Betting Trend – 70% backing Milwaukee
Doug’s VPID Take – Milwaukee wins
MLB – HOUSTON (-130) at L.A, DODGERS (+110) (Series Betting)
Though the stakes are not as high, this World Series rematch matter to both clubs attempting to win their respective divisions. Houston has the advantage in Games 1 and 3 with Justin Verlander and Gerrit Cole over Alex Wood and Walker “Ferris” Buehler. I would give a slight edge to Kenta Maeda over a wildly inconsistent Lance McCullers Jr. in the middle contest. Though the Astros should win, I think this means more to the Dodgers and their offense carries them.
Betting Trend – 60% backing Houston
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Los Angeles
Public Consensus Record (2018) – 51% to 79% – 137-143-7 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2018) – 80% or Higher – 57-55-1 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2018) – 182-196-6 ATS