Free Picks and Predictions on Line Moves for April 11


All quiet on the hockey front for line moves and with so many day games in baseball, not many options for baseball either. Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions to see what we are thinking about today. See you back here tomorrow.

MLB – (907) PITTSBURGH at (908) CHIC. CUBS  8:05 ET  ATTP, CSCH (side and total)

The baseball season is two weeks old and the team picked to win the Central and be among the top NL contenders to reach the World Series has yet to win a series. The 3-8 Chicago Cubs have split two games with Pittsburgh and need a victory to finally win a series. Those betting baseball are not overly optimistic that will happen and moved the Cubs from -145 to -130. If Joe Maddon’s team doesn’t score they have no shot, with terrible starting pitching, a bad bullpen and shoddy fielding. Jose Quintana (0-1,10.29 ERA) has been completely ineffective and he’ll face the Bucs Joe Musgrove (1-0, 0.00). One element in the Cubs favor; road teams when the money line is +125 to -125, off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season,  playing a losing team, are just 8-31. The total has fallen from 10 to 9 with windy conditions expected. However, the current forecast is for the wind direction to change from blowing in to blowing out during the game at over 20 MPH. The total could be go back to starting place.

Betting Trend – 65% backing Chicago,80% on Under

Doug’s VPID Take – Leans Chicago ML and Over


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MLB – (919) TORONTO at (920) BOSTON  7:10 ET  RSN, NESN

With Boston’s  Nathan Eovaldi (0-0, 8.10) back to throwing like he has too often in the past, the total has jumped from 9 to 9.5 in this Eastern Division encounter. Toronto scored seven runs in the Red Sox home opener for the victory, but that is high-water mark of the season since they are only averaging 3.0 RPG. The Blue Jays Aaron Sanchez (1-1, 1.64) has looked sharp in two outings and he’s 31-13 Under if his team is off a win. While that is tempting, further research finds Toronto is 28-11 OVER as a road underdog of +150 to +200 and Boston is 28-13 OVER when playing with a day off.

Betting Trend – 53% backing Under

Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over

Public Consensus Record (2019) – 51% to 79% – 51-45-1 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2019) – 80% or Higher –19-23-1ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2019) – 70-68-2 ATS


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