Free Picks and Predictions on Line Moves for 7/26/18

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For line moves, we are on the diamond and on the gridiron for Thursday and our free plays are up to a scalding 64.1%! Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions (267-203-4 run, 77-46-2 of late) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here tomorrow.

MLB – (903) N.Y. METS at (904) PITTSBURGH  7:05 ET  SNY, ATT-P (side and total)

One might think a team like Pittsburgh that has won 11 of 12, would be a rising, not falling favorite against the miserable Mets. But that is not the case as Pirates have slid from -165 to -150. Why, because important cogs Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte are both not expected to play because of injury. This has also impacted the total which has fallen from 8.5 to 8. While the Bucs injury woes are a concern, I still prefer Nick Kingham (5-4, 4.11 ERA) and the Pitt pen over Steven Matz (4-8, 3.65) and New York pensters. Besides, Matz and friends are 0-8 vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs a game in the second half of the season since last year. I’ll lean with the lower score.

Betting Trend – 77% backing Pittsburgh, 62% on Over

Doug’s VPID Take – Pittsburgh wins, lean Under

MLB – (911) MILWAUKEE at (912) SAN FRANCISCO  10:15 ET  FSWI, NBC-BA

Dereck Rodriguez (5-1, 2.72) has been a pleasant surprise for San Francisco and he and the Giants opened as -130 home favorite’s over Milwaukee. That did not last as the Giants are down to -110 at last look. The chief reason is much traveled Wade Miley (1-1, 1.56) is pitching out of mind. Miley has a 4.34 career ERA and theoretically is facing his perfect matchup, as San Fran is 29th in scoring (3.5 RPG) against LH starters. However, the Giants are 31-19 at home and the Brew Crew has lost nine of 10 away from Miller Park.

Betting Trend – 52% backing San Francisco

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean San Francisco

MLB – (921) OAKLAND at (922) TEXAS  8:05 ET   CSCA, FSSW

Oakland goes after the four-game sweep over Texas, but baseball bettors are thinking the A’s might be arm weary and lowered the total from 11.5 to 11. Oakland has battered Rangers pitching for 34 runs and 41 hits and will face elder statesman Bartolo Colon (5-8, 4.85). There is nothing to indicate Texas hurlers will slow down A’s batters, especially with their pathetic bullpen. The Rangers offense has been solid in averaging 5.6 RPG in their last seven outings and they are 16-5 OVER at home after having lost three of their last four games this season.

Betting Trend – 61% backing Over

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Over

CFL – (361) EDMONTON at (362) MONTREAL 7:30 ET  TSN

After years of success and reliable quarterback play, Montreal is in the dumps at 1-4 (2.3 ATS). The Alouettes have been bumped up from +8 to +10 home underdogs against Edmonton (3-2, 1-4 ATS). Montreal has no offence (13.8 PPG) and is being outscored by 15.6 PPG. One might think this is a flat spot the Eskimos, who have been poor in covering the spread this season. However, Edmonton has looked very comfortable in the Québec province largest city with a recent 4-0 SU and ATS record.

Betting Trend – 61% backing Edmonton

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Edmonton

 

Public Consensus Record (2018) – 51% to 79% – 139-133-7 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2018) – 80% or Higher – 54-55-1 ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2018) – 175-187-6 ATS

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