Free Picks and Predictions on Line Moves for 6/29 to 7/1/18

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In line moves, we have three baseball plays, two series betting suggestions and one hot CFL total! Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions (238-190-3 run, 48-33-1 of late) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here next week.

MLB – (903) N.Y. METS at (904) MIAMI  7:10 ET  SNY, FSFL

This is not exactly the marquee game of the night, but one of the starting pitcher’s is which is why the line is moving. Jacob deGrom (5-3, 1.69 ERA) will take the pill for the Mets and they have blossomed from -145 to over -170. New York has lost eight of nine and is within four games of last place Miami. However, the Marlins just scored four runs in losing three home games to Arizona and don’t figure to do much with deGrom. What makes this a scary choice is the Mets bullpen! (Note: No play, deGrome pulled)

Betting Trend – 87% backing N. Y. Mets

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean N.Y. Mets

MLB – (905) MILWAUKEE at (906) CINCINNATI  7:10 ET  FSWI, FSOH

First place Milwaukee got a late three-run homer and beat Cincinnati 6-4 last night to cool off the red-hot Reds. With both offenses swinging the lumber well and above their season averages in runs scored the last seven games, the total has blown up like people’s thoughts about Jameis Winston, rising from 9 to 10. Though Chase Anderson (4-6, 4.37) and Sal Romano (4-7, 5.29) would hardly be deemed as reliable, both squads have solid bullpens. Each team has Under tendencies, I’ll back the OVER with Cincy 13-4 OVER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.25 or better this season. (Avr. score 11.4 totals runs)

Betting Trend – 76% backing Over

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Over

MLB – (917) BOSTON at (918) N.Y. YANKEES   7:05 ET  NESN, YES

With two of the best teams in baseball having two of the best offenses in the sport, the total in the series opener has been bumped from 9 to 9.5. Here is why this looks like wrong way action to me. The Yankees this month are 22-4 UNDER and are facing Eduardo Rodriguez (9-2, 3.86), who is 11-1 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher and 8-2 UNDER against the Pinstripes. C.C. Sabathia will toe the rubber first for New York and he is 17-7 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 since last year and is 26-14 UNDER versus Boston. This is how I see it!

Betting Trend – 54% backing Over

Doug’s VPID Take – Play Under

CFL – (373) WINNIPEG at (374) HAMILTON  7:00 ET  ESPN2

Though these teams have played five straight Under’s, the total has exploded from 55 to 58.5. Winnipeg is averaging 43 PPG after two weeks and Hamilton QB Jeremiah Masoli is averaging 325 yards passing a game to support the total. While the Blue Bombers are a terrific 15-5 Over on the road of late, the Ti-Cats are 9-1 UNDER at home when the total is 56 or higher and I will trust that figure more.

Betting Trend – 57% backing Over

Doug’s VPID Take – Play Under

MLB – ATLANTA (+140) at ST. LOUIS (-160) (Series Betting)

The Braves are off two sleeping-looking series losses to Baltimore and Cincinnati at home and will try and rejuvenate on the road in St. Louis. Atlanta looks like it should have the edge in the series finale with Mike Foltynewicz, but the first two contests could go either way. The Braves will use inconsistent Julio Teheran and Brandon McCarthy in the first two games against Miles Mikolas and Luke Weaver. I’m going to play a hunch Atlanta shakes there lethargy and wins the series.

Betting Trend – 61% backing St. Louis

Doug’s VPID Take – Atlanta wins

MLB – PITTSBURGH (-110) at SAN DIEGO (-110)  (Series Betting)

I know this is a crummy series but I’m on record as saying I chose close series for this article. This is a three-game set Pittsburgh should win, but I’m sure their offense or starting pitching can be trusted. I would not be surprised to see three one-run outcomes and I’ll say the Padres take two of them.

Betting Trend – 52% backing Pittsburgh

Doug’s VPID Take – San Diego wins

 

Public Consensus Record (2018) – 51% to 79% – 124-113-6 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2018) – 80% or Higher – 49-55-1 ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2018) – 161-165-7 ATS

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