After another winning weekend, line moves is ready for Tuesday baseball action. Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions (233-188-3 run, 43-31-1 of late) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here tomorrow.
MLB – (951) PITTSBURGH at (952) N.Y. METS 7:10 ET ATT-P, SNY
After losing five straight, Pittsburgh got back on the winning side and at the same time extended the Mets misery on Monday. New York has now lost seven in a row and tonight has fallen from -125 to around -105, give or take a couple cents, either way, depending on the sportsbooks. Neither the Pirates Chad Kuhl (5-5, 4.56 ERA) or the Mets Steven Matz (3-5, 3.68) would be called reliable. This is strictly a pick your poison contest with Kuhl and the Bucs 0-9 on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 and the Mets 0-8 at home after a 5-game span where the bullpen ERA is 6.50 or worse. I’ll side with Pitt and sprinkle holy water all around me and hope for the best.
Betting Trend – 61% backing Pittsburgh
Doug’s VPID Take – Slight lean Pittsburgh
MLB – (957) CHIC. CUBS at (958) L.A. DODGERS 10:10 ET ESPN
The Cubs are in the midst of an ugly 0-5 slump, while the Dodgers are surging with a 26-9 record of late. Baseball bettors are backing the hotter team and launched L.A. from -140 to -160, with highly effective Ross Stripling (6-1, 1.99) taking the ball. Part of Chicago’s problem is the offense is on ’tilt’, averaging 2.5 RPG on their last nine games, seven which were losses. The Cubs might be worth a look only because of Jon Lester (9-2, 2.10), but they still have dropped nine of 12 at Chavez Ravine.
Betting Trend – 57% backing Chicago
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Los Angeles
MLB – (961) SEATTLE at (962) BALTIMORE 7:10 ET RS-NW, MASN
Some influential bettors are ignoring certain facts and focusing on the peripherals. Seattle has lost six of eight and their best pitcher James Paxton (6-2, 3.72), has 7.54 ERA in his past three starts. Baltimore is the worst team in the AL, but their starting pitching choice Kevin Gausman (3-6, 4.38) has a 3.04 ERA in four starts against the Mariners. The M’s have slid from -165 to -145, yet, how do you overlook the Birds are 5-23 after scoring three runs or less in two straight games and Gausman being 4-18 as an underdog of +100 to +150? (Orioles record)
Betting Trend – 90% backing Seattle
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Seattle
MLB – (977) KANSAS CITY at (978) MILWAUKEE 8:10 ET KSKC, FSWI
With Kansas City the worst-scoring team in the majors and Milwaukee having tallied three or less runs in seven of their last 10 contests, the total has slipped from 8.5 to 8. With rookie Freddy Peralta (2-0, 2.30) doing a good job since being called and backed with a stellar bullpen, the Royals offense should be curtailed. However, Jakub Junis (5-8, 4.43) has lost five consecutive games and seen his ERA go up nearly a run after being effective early. Blend in a bad K.C. bullpen and the Brewers could have a bust-out game. I’ll err on the side of caution with the Brew Crew 11-1 UNDER after a loss by four runs or more this season.
Betting Trend – 53% backing Under
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Under
Public Consensus Record (2018) – 51% to 79% – 122-112-6 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2018) – 80% or Higher – 45-54-1 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2018) – 159-159-7 ATS