For line moves we are going thru baseball for money lines, totals and series wagering along with some CFL action. Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions (229-185-3 run, 39-28-1 of late) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here next week.
MLB – (955) CHIC. CUBS at (956) CINCINNATI 7:10 ET WGN (Local), FSOH (side and total)
With last place Cincinnati having won four in a row and seven of nine, enough bettors are giving them a chance in Game 2 of their series with the Cubs. The Reds have been lowered from +145 to +130 and the total has also dipped from 9 to 8.5. This might not be the best decision on the side play with Jose Quintana (6-5, 4.06 ERA) having a 2.70 ERA versus Cincy and Chicago 3-0 against them. Though Cincinnati’s Luis Castillo (4-8) has thrown well twice against the Cubs, his velocity is down and his ERA is 5.77 compared to last year’s 3.12. Look for the Cubs to bounce back from last night’s loss and Quintana is 18-6 UNDER in last 24 road starts.
Betting Trend – 88% backing Chicago, 56% on Under
Doug’s VPID Take – Chicago wins, Play Under
MLB – (961) MIAMI at (962) COLORADO 8:40 ET FSFL, ATT-RM
With both starting pitchers in this NL contest having ERA’s approaching six and Miami and Colorado having the two worst bullpens in the league, the total slipping from 11.5 to 11 is a head-scratcher. The Marlins are 21-8 OVER in road games after two straight games with no home runs and the Rockies are 16-3 OVER this month.
Betting Trend – 67% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over
MLB – (967) SEATTLE at (968) BOSTON 7:10 ET RTMW, NESN
After playing so well all season, Seattle is in the midst of a Boston/Yankees/Boston three-pack of series and has lost four in a row. Not sure if it would be comforting for the Mariners, but sportsbooks have dropped them from +145 to +130 or lower at Fenway. The pitching battle is a rematch from last Sunday and it is out of bizzaro-world in terms of quality, with Wade LeBlanc (3-0, 2.63) facing Steven Wright (2-1, 1.23). Both were outstanding in Seattle’s 1-0 shutout and are in the best stretch of their ordinary careers. I’ll lean with the M’s being 9-0 after a one-run loss.
Betting Trend – 61% backing Boston
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Seattle
CFL – (365) EDMONTON at (366) HAMILTON 10:00 ET ESPN+
The total in the late CFL conflict on Friday night has sent the total from 55 to 57, before settling back at 56.5. Both of last year’s meetings were OVER’s and despite Hamilton’s anemic 14 points last week, they had 389 yards of offense. Let’s stick with the OVER, with the Eskimos 16-6 OVER at home after a win by three or fewer points.
Betting Trend – 62% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Over
MLB – L.A. DODGERS (-145) at N.Y. METS (+125) (Series Betting)
Other than the Mets having a dramatic edge in Game 2 of this series with Jacob deGrom, the other two contests have mostly mediocre starting pitching. This should help the Dodgers breakout out of their recent slump in which they have scored 2.1 RPG. New York has only scored 3.1 RPG at home and their bullpen is problematic, which leads me to take the Dodgers for this weekend series.
Betting Trend – 64% backing L.A. Dodgers
Doug’s VPID Take – L.A. Dodgers win
MLB – PHILADELPHIA (+115) at WASHINGTON (-135) (Series Betting)
These NL East rivals are tied with the same amount of losses and trail Atlanta by three games. With Washington 15-8 at home in this series, one might think they would be larger favorites in this series, but because of injury, their projected starters are in order Tanner Roark, Erick Fedde, and Jefry Rodriquez in the Sunday night battle. Put that up against a hot Zach Eflin, Aaron Nola and Nick Pivetta for Philadelphia. While the Phillies are only 15-20 on the road, the Nationals are just 18-18 at home.
Betting Trend – 55% backing Washington
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Philadelphia
Public Consensus Record (2018) – 51% to 79% – 119-109-6 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2018) – 80% or Higher – 45-53-1 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2018) – 157-156-7 ATS