Free Picks and Predictions on Line Moves for 6/19/18


Line Moves are coming fast and ferocious today and we have them all covered.  Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions (226-181-3 run, 36-23-1 of late) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here tomorrow.

MLB – (905) L.A. DODGERS at (906) CHIC. CUBS 8:05 ET SNLA, ABC-7

This will be Game 2 on the docket after last night’s rain/power outage. Despite the fact both teams have excellent records against left-handed starters (Dodgers 17-7, Cubs 10-4), the total has slipped from 8.5 to 8. Both Rich Hill (1-2, 6.20 ERA) and Mike Montgomery (2-2, 3.31) have limited experience against their opponents, though Hill came up with Chicago (2005-08). A lot of times what happens in Game 1 of a doubleheader flips in the nightcap and we will not know what that will be at this time. Thus, we’ll stick to the numbers with L.A. 18-5 UNDER vs. lefty starters and Montgomery 7-0 UNDER after giving up two or less earned runs in his last two starts.

Betting Trend – 67% backing Under

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Under

MLB – (911) SEATTLE at (912) N.Y. YANKEES  7:05 ET  RTMW, YES (side and total)

As well as the Yankees have been playing on a 14-4 spurt, Seattle is on a 14-3 roll of their own. Baseball bettors are not impressed and have taken New York from -155 to -175. If you like to bet underdogs, this is important because the Yanks are starting Domingo German (1-3, 5.77), whose largely been ineffective. Seattle counters with Marco Gonzales (7-3, 3.42) and he’s 4-0 with a 1.41 ERA in his last six starts, with hitters are batting .204 against him. It should be noted however, the Bronx Bombers are 16-5 against lefthanders. The total is up from 9 to 9.5, but the Yankees are 15-2 UNDER this month and I’ll go against the grain here. Though I think the Mariners can win, I’ll lean with the Pinstripes at home.

Betting Trend – 55% backing Over, 56% on Seattle

Doug’s VPID Take – Play Under, Lean New York

MLB – (917) BOSTON at (918) MINNESOTA   8:10 ET  NESN, FSNO

In the Twin Cities, we have a good pitching matchup with Chris Sale (6-4, 2.75) against Jose Berrios (7-5, 3.51). Though Sale has had a few poorer outings against Minnesota (4.61 ERA), the total has still fallen from 7.5 to 7. Berrios has been on top of his game in his past half-dozen outings with a 2.47 ERA, which gives further credence to a lower scoring affair. Truthfully, I could make a case either way, but I’ll back the line move because the Twins are scoring a mere 3.2 RPG vs. lefties.

Betting Trend – 53% backing Over

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Under

MLB – (927) ARIZONA at (928) L.A.A. ANGELS  10:05 ET  FSAZ, FSW

I understand Matt Koch (5-3, 4.09) of Arizona is not unhittable, still, the Angles have lost six of seven, are below .500 at the Big A and are in desperate need of any pitching with eight pitchers on the DL. Going up against some dude named Felix Pena (0-0, 10.13), I’ll gladly take the D-Backs at +140 compared to +120.

Betting Trend – 61% backing Arizona

Doug’s VPID Take – Arizona wins


Public Consensus Record (2018) – 51% to 79% – 116-104-6 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2018) – 80% or Higher – 45-53-1 ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2018) – 152-153-7 ATS


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