Free Picks and Predictions for May 14

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Time to kickoff line moves with Game 1 in the West Finals and with baseball today. Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions to see what we are thinking about today. See you back here next tomorrow.

NBA – (533) PORTLAND at (534) GOLDEN STATE  9:00 ET  ESPN

No Kevin Durant, no problem, at least when it comes to points in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals. Oddsmakers sent this lid-lifter out at 218 and by Tuesday afternoon it was up to 220.5. That is hard to argue with as Portland is15-5 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) in the second half of the season the past two years and Golden State 21-8 OVER as a #1 seed in the playoffs.  

Betting Trend – 73% backing Over

Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over

MLB  – (951) CHICAGO CUBS at (952) CINCINNATI  6:40 ET  CSCH, FSOH

After a laboring start, the Cubs have won 12 of 14, with exceptional hitting and pitching carrying them. Despite this, Chicago is down 20 cents to -110 road favorites over Cincinnati. The Reds are above .500 in their last 32 games after a 1-8 start. Starter Tanner Roark (3-1, 3.27 ERA) has thrown well and has only allow five runs in three starts against the Cubs covering 20 innings. After a brutal start, Kyle Hendricks (2-4, 3.19) has returned to form but remains 0-3, with a 8.59 ERA in three road starts. With Chicago 3-11 after allowing one run or less in two straight games, Cincy has a shot.

Betting Trend – 78% backing Chicago

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Cincinnati

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MLB  – (953) MILWAUKEE at (954) PHILADELPHIA 7:05 ET  FSWI, CSP

Philadelphia engineered a come from behind win over Milwaukee last night, sending them to a third straight defeat. Those betting baseball are undeterred and flipped the Brewers from +115 to -113 away favorites. The Crew will start Brandon Woodruff who is 5-1 with a 4.25 ERA in eight starts this season. He has allowed just three earned runs over the last 16 innings in three previous starts. The Phillies will counter with Jerad Eickhoff (2-1, 1.50) who’s been outstanding, but he’s facing a Brewers club that is 20-6 after scoring four runs or less in three straight games and is 22-8 vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less homers a start.

Betting Trend – 61% backing Philadelphia

Doug’s VPID Take – Milwaukee wins

MLB  – (975) TAMPA BAY at (976) MIAMI 7:10 ET  FSSUN, FSFL (side and total)

It’s the Sunshine State showdown on the diamond. Tampa Bay has the 5th-best record in baseball, while Miami is dead last record-wise, yet the Marlins have slide from +135 to +120 home underdogs. The reason is starting pitcher Caleb Smith who is 3-0 (Marlins 4-3) with a 2.11 ERA and 11.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Smith has provided them a chance and Miami will see the Rays Charlie Morton is also 3-0 with a 2.64 ERA this season. In addition, the total has also crumbled from 7 to 6.5, not only because of the starting hurlers, but because the Fish are scoring a dismal 3.2 RPG in May. Definitely like the UNDER and think Tampa Bay will do business against Miami’s 27th rated bullpen late for the W.

Betting Trend – 90% backing Tampa Bay, 67% on Over

Doug’s VPID Take – Tampa Bay wins, Play Under

Public Consensus Record (2019) – 51% to 79% – 81-70-3 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2019) – 80% or Higher – 27-32-1ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2019) – 108-102-4 ATS

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