With so many day baseball games, hard to get this out for line moves, thus, focused on a couple of night games and our first WNBA action. Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions (8-5-1 of late) to see what we are thinking about today. See you back here tomorrow.
MLB – (923) BALTIMORE at (924) TEXAS 7:05 ET MASN, FSSW
Normally would not look at a game like this because of the reasoning, but we are in short supply. Texas has blown up from -150 to -180 because of the pitching change for Baltimore from Andrew Cashner to a laboring David Hess (1-7, 7.36 ERA). With Hess 7-3 OVER this season, the total jumped from 10.5 to 11. With the Orioles 2-9 in Hess’s starts, the Rangers are the play but the money line seems to be too large and the better value would appear on the run line with Texas. Not crazy about the total even with the O’s 7-3 OVER at 10.5 or higher. But Hess has not been worth a damn and that Birds bullpen is an accident waiting to happen. Siding with the OVER.
Betting Trend – 92% backing Texas, 74% on Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Texas wins (take RL), lean Over
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MLB – (925) OAKLAND at (926) L.A.A. ANGELS 10:07 ET NBCSCA, FSW
These AL West rivals had a slugfest last night and the Angels were the last team to score and won 10-9. Tonight, Mike Fiers (4-3, 4.78) takes on Tyler Skaggs (4-5, 4.50) and both have largely been ineffective (except for Fiers no-no), which has helped push the total from 9 to 9.5. With these two hurlers have a home/road dichotomy, with Fiers 5-1 OVER on the road and Skaggs 4-0 UNDER at home. Though Skaggs is 8-1 UNDER this year, his teammates are 12-1 OVER at the Big A on Thursday’s (normally series closer) and the A’s are 8-0 OVER after scoring eight runs or more this season.
Betting Trend – 53% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over
WNBA – (629) LAS VEGAS at (630) ATLANTA 7:00 ET CBSSN
Las Vegas was a trendy pick to win the WNBA championship before the season. They have looked anything but title-worthy with a 1-2 SU & ATS start. Nonetheless, the Aces have still been pumped up from -3 to -4.5 point favorites at Atlanta (1-2, 0-3 ATS). Las Vegas is committing 16 turnovers a game and allowing foes to connect on 37 percent from three-point land. The Dream is without injured star Angel McCoughtry and Tiffany Hayes is averaging just 8.3 PPG. Let’s take the points with Atlanta who is 11-3 ATS after a combined score of 165 points or more. The total has also climbed from 158 to 162, but if the Dream are to cover, they will have to defend and they are 16-6 UNDER in home games.
Betting Trend – 67% backing Las Vegas, 61% on Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Atlanta cover and Under
Public Consensus Record (2019) – 51% to 79% – 106-89-4 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2019) – 80% or Higher – 34-37-1ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2019) – 132-130-5 ATS