Early College Football Line Moves and Betting Trends for Sept.13

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You might want to take close look at line moves both today and for the weekend. My picks were 14-8 and the direction of the line moves were 16-5. This doesn’t happen every week, but would you want to miss anything? Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (230-182 of late and recent 16-9 mark), when posted,  to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow for NFL.

CFB – (115) EAST CAROLINA at (116) SOUTH CAROLINA  4:00 ET SECN

South Carolina is averaging 13.5 PPG after a pair of SEC road showdowns. Being back home should help the offense, but facing a motivated East Carolina club that takes great delight in knocking off bigger programs in the area has helped push the Gamecocks from -5.5 to -3.5 in Columbia. The Pirates are 21-7 ATS as road dogs of seven or less.

Betting Trend – 84% backing East Carolina

CFB – (117) FLORIDA STATE at (118) LOUISVILLE 12:00 ET  ABC

Terrific ACC encounter of two Top 10 teams and the view among bettors is points will not be in short supply with two potent offenses. The total was lifted early from 63 to 65 and the OVER has been the correct call the past two years. Louisville comes in 8-1 OVER after scoring 20 points or more in the first half of straight games, but the intensity will be high.

Betting Trend – 67% backing Over

CFB – (127) COLORADO at (128) MICHIGAN 3:30 ET  BTN

This is Michigan’s third straight home game and finally faces somebody with a pulse, however, the Wolverines are still attracting a lot of attention and are up two points to -20.5 over Colorado. The Buffaloes visually are faster and playing with more confidence, but we learn where they really are this week against top flight opponent.

Betting Trend – 73% backing Michigan

CFB –(131) MID. TENN. STATE at (132) BOWLING GREEN 12:00 ET  W-ESPN

After being crushed by Ohio State and holding on to defeat North Dakota 27-26, football bettors are spooked by Bowling Green and have lowered them from -5.5 to -3.5. Middle Tennessee State was vanquished by Vanderbilt by 23, but is still averaging 417 passing YPG, which gives them a chance. Blue Raiders however are 1-11 ATS after two straight contests with 40 or more pass attempts.

Betting Trend – 68% backing Mid. Tenn. State

CFB – (167) OREGON at (168) NEBRASKA 3:30 ET  ABC

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com		Two offenses that have the proclivity to put up points has the total on the rise from 70.5 to 73. With the Oregon defense still not close to the Chip Kelly days, Nebraska should be able to keep scoreboard operator busy and it is a given the Ducks will do the same. When the total moves in this manner in this range, the OVER is 11-1.

Betting Trend – 74% backing Over

CFB – (203) USC at (204) STANFORD 8:00 ET ABC

USC has not earned anyone’s trust and the drubbing they suffered at the hands of Alabama still resonates. This leads to Trojans going from +6 to +8.5. Nonetheless, what do we really know about Stanford, who was outgained by Kansas State. The underdog is 8-1 ATS and worth consideration going past key number. io

Betting Trend – 58% backing Stanford

CFB – (205) TEXAS at (206) CALIFORNIA 10:30 ET  ESPN

With Texas presenting the appearance of the best club in the Big 12 and California requiring at least 13 defenders to stop the run (291 YPG allowed), the Longhorns have been built up from -5.5 to -8 on the road. The Golden Bears got backdoor cover at San Diego State and with this adjustment could engineer same thing with prolific passing offense.

Betting Trend – 76% backing Texas

 

Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 183-161-2

Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 141-114-1

Line Movement Direction Record – 329-296-3

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