Don’t Place NFL Futures Bets Based On Scheduling


In what has become a rite of spring, the NFL releases the schedules of all 32 teams to generate a monthly buzz about the league when games are not playing played. At the same time, football fans insatiable hunger for anything NFL related is nonstop.

Across all facets of football fans life, they can listen to sports talk radio or podcasts about their favorite team’s schedule, read in innumerable websites or check out videos about any of the 32 squads. While this is great to talk about and listen to around the water cooler, your favorite watering hole or with a water-based adult beverage, it is important to listen and just not go all in.

At this point, you are probably wondering if this writer had opened up too many cold ones. But rest assured, there is truth in what we print.

Every Season Is Different In The NFL

The problem with making futures bets at any sportsbook for that matter is using last year’s results that are not indicative of the upcoming season.


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In the NFL, the turnover of division champions since 2005 is over 50 percent annually and if you subtract the entire time Tom Brady has played for New England (take out the AFC East), that number rises to over 65 percent in the other seven divisions.

No question, scheduling plays a part in that occurring in looking at previous division champs who do not repeat or last place teams who shock us all by winning their division.

However, that is normally only a part of the story. Rosters change yearly with the draft, free agents or salary cap additions or subtractions. A team might be on the rise but lacked the right quarterback or head coach and changed those spots, filled a couple of other needs and just like that, they went from six wins to 10 or 11 and are in the playoffs.

These type of events are more important year to year than scheduling.



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