By Marc Lawrence of Playbook.com – Cutting Down The Nets: College Conference Championship Games
It’s Championship Week and with it the reward of a ticket to the Big Dance to all the teams who will be cutting down the nets immediately after their conference tournament championship game.
Before knee jerking and playing on teams in title games that on paper look to be the better squad, instead pay close attention to these four College Conference Championship Game moneymaking scenarios. You could end up padding your NCAA Tournament bankroll. Note: all results are prior to this year’s tourneys and are since 1990.
Having been there and done that goes a long way toward a team’s success in conference title games.
That’s confirmed by the fact that team who won 27 or more games the previous season use that weight to their advantage, going 85-65-3 ATS in these affairs.
Put them up against a No. 4 or lower seed and they improve to 35-6 SU and 28-12-1 ATS, including 18-1 SU and 17-2 ATS if they defeated their lightweight opponent in a most recent contest.
Ain’t No Stopping Us Now
Momentum can carry a team a long way, especially when they arrive to the championship game of their conference tourney.
No. 1 or 2 seeded favorites that enter off three wins in a row by an average win margin of 20 PPG or better are 19-2 SU and 17-4 ATS, including a jaw-dropping 15-1 SUATS since 2000.
Home Teams in Title Games – Use Them, Don’t Abuse Them
Home is where the heart is. It’s also where the money is in championship games. That’s confirmed by the fact that ‘on-board’ teams are 40-17 SU and 30-25-2 ATS.
If this home advantaged team lost one or fewer games at home on the season they improve to 24-1 SU and 16-8-1 ATS, including 16-1 SU and 13-3-1 ATS if they are hosting a No.1 or No. 2 seeded opponent.
Dogs With a Higher Win Percentage Have Little to No Bite
As rare as it may seem, teams with the better record are not always favored in Championship Games. So when the linemakers install the opponent with an inferior win percentage the favorite in the game he’s knows what he’s doing.
That’s because underdogs with a better win percentage are just 7-18 ATS in these games following an ATS win. And if these dogs are No. 1 seeds taking on No. 2 or lowers seeds they practically disappear, gong 1-8 SUATS in these title games.
There you have it, four time-tested Championship Game theories to ponder for Championship Week. Now, get your dancing shoes ready.