One last go round for the college football regular season; here is what football bettors are doing. Always review the nuggets since they are worth a look.
CFB – (307) UCLA at (308) OREGON 8:00 EST FOX
An atrocious matchup for a conference championship, made more painful by this being the inaugural game for the Pac-12. The only real intrigue is the oddsmakers line which has been altered. Oregon opened at -30 and was swiftly jolted to -31.5. Even the firing of Rick Neuheisel figures to have little impact since if the Bruins players didn’t play hard for him the previous four years, why would they now? UCLA is 2-10 ATS in road games vs. offensive teams scoring 37 or more points. Update – The other day the line briefly moved to 32-points, before settling back to 31.5. 3DW Position – Oregon covers
CFB – (309) CONNECTICUT at (310) CINCINNATI 12:00 EST ESPN
Cincinnati players and coaches will be rooting for South Florida on Thursday, as a win by the Bulls opens the door for them to become Big East co-champions and secure BCS bid by virtue of a win over Louisville. The Bearcats are attracting the wagering action, jumping from -8.5 to -10. Cincy has to score and is 9-2 ATS when they ring up 28 or more points. Update – With Cincinnati having less to play most likely with West Virginia’s victory, the number has come back to nine. 3DW Position – Cincinnati covers
CFB – (311) SYRACUSE at (312) PITTSBURGH 12:00 EST ESPN2
Pittsburgh had their chance to play a meaningful game this weekend, but could not hold a lead at West Virginia. Both teams are fighting to finish the season .500 and the Panthers began as 12-point favorites. Considering Syracuse is a 0-4 SU and ATS downhill fall, they have been garnering the flow of cash and are now listed at +10.5. In matchups vs. common opponents, Pitt is 5-1 ATS and the Orange 1-5 ATS. Update – A continued money move towards Syracuse, not at +10. 3DW Position – One of my plays
CFB – (313) IOWA STATE at (314) KANSAS STATE 12:30 EST FSN
The total on this Big 12 encounter has been sliding downward like Andy Reid’s chances of being the head coach of the Eagles next year. Depending on where you looked, the total started somewhere between 56 and 54 and everyone agrees 51.5 is the right number for now. The big picture question is the falling total because Iowa State will set the tone of the game or won’t be able to score against Kansas State? The Cyclones are 9-1 UNDER in the second half of the season the last two years. 3DW Position – Play Under
CFB – (317) UNLV at (318) TCU 2:30 EST VERSUS
It is a formality for TCU to wrap up the Mountain West title with a victory against UNLV. Despite the large chasm in talent between the two squads, even 40 points sounded high to college football bettors and they lowered number to 39. UNLV is 1-11 ATS as a road underdog, yet the Horned Frogs will choose if they want to cover this spread or not. Update – This is one of two games that seems like a coin flip because of the points, (Boise State being the other) and TCU is down another half point to 38.5. 3DW Position – UNLV covers
CFB – (319) OKLAHOMA at (320) OKLAHOMA STATE 8:00 EST ABC
Even excess has its limits and the opening number of 74 for the Bedlam battle was deemed too pricy and lowered to 71.5. One has to imagine Oklahoma will not be quite as potent with a star running back and receiver out of the lineup and the Sooners pass rush is sure to make Brandon Weeden a bit jumpy, even though he’s probably the only college senior that doesn’t get carded anymore. This is about preference, do you like the Cowboys since they are 13-1 OVER at home games after scoring 31 points or more in three straight games or Boomer Sooner who is 14-4 UNDER in road games they have committed three or more turnovers. 3DW Position –Play Over
CFB – (329) UTAH STATE at (330) NEW MEXICO STATE 3:30 EST
Remember back to the first week of the season where Utah State had the defending national champions Auburn beat at their place, but could not close the deal. We found out then the Aggies were a pretty good team and conceivably could be 9-2 right now. That is reason enough to take Utah State from -12.5 to -14.5 on the road. That and the fact New Mexico State is 1-10 ATS after allowing 37 points or more in three straight contests. 3DW Position – Utah State covers
CFB – (337) UL-MONROE at (338) FLORIDA ATLANTIC 4:00 EST
Florida Atlantic won their first game of the season last week for outgoing coach Howard Schnellenberger and they will attempt to duplicate that feat. The Owls have flown from +9 to +7.5 and all seven previous meetings between these teams have been decided by a touchdown or less. Update – This line probably stay the same because nobody looked at it again after Tuesday. 3DW Position – UL-Monroe covers
CFB – (341) GEORGIA vs. (342) LSU 4:00 EST CBS
LSU has established their pedigree and deserve the money to follow them. The Tigers were sent out at -10.5 and quicker than their defense line, LSU shot up to -13.5. Look for this number to rollback in a market adjustment, with Georgia still 0-6 ATS as an underdog. Update – The top ranked Tigers keep catching the cash, now up to two touchdown favorites. 3DW Position – One of my plays
3Daily Winners Nuggets
CFB ATS Nugget
Florida Atlantic is 0-11 ATS at home after a game where they committed one or less turnovers.
CFB Totals Nugget
Baylor is 10-1 OVER playing against a team with a winning record the last two seasons.
CFB Money Line Nugget
Colorado State is 1-12 against the ML after four or more consecutive SU losses since 1992.