College Football Line Moves and Free Picks for Oct.20


Today we look at all the college football line moves and betting trends. In addition, we find the Mets (-125 to -110) are dwindling favorites and the Blue Jays (-130 to -145 or higher) are on the rise on the money line. Please return tomorrow for the Week 7 NFL line moves and Friday for all the latest news in college football.

CFB – Tuesday (301) UL-LAFAYETTE  at (302) ARKANSAS STATE  8:00 ET  ESPN2

The total has really taken a dip from 62 to 57.5 and cannot explain exactly why. Both teams average game scores are well into the 60’s and even against teams that are more similar to who these teams have played they are a combined 4-3. OVER. This has to be wise guy money and they must know something. With Arkansas State 7-0 OVER recently after two SBC contests, have to look toward that direction.

Betting Trend – 89% backing Under

Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over

CFB – Friday (311) MEMPHIS at (312) TULSA  8:00 ET ESPN
Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

If you take the combined offense averages of these two AAC teams, you arrive at 79.3 points a game. Next consider these are the 105th (Memphis) and 122nd (Tulsa) ranked defenses in the country and it is easy to comprehend why the total went from 72 to 75. Average Tulsa home game score has been 65.2 points the last three years.

Betting Trend – 66% backing Over

CFB – (321) BOWLING GREEN at (322) KENT STATE  1:00 ET  W-ESPN

Nice road win by Kent State at UMass last week, but football bettors see scoring disparity and wonder. Bowling Green’s prolific passing offense helps them score 43.3 PPG, while the Golden Flashes labor to reach 18 PPG. This has led to the Falcons flying from -12.5 to -14.5. Bowling Green is 9-0 ATS after a 21 or more point win.

Betting Trend – 95% backing Bowling Green

CFB – (329) CLEMSON at (330) MIAMI-FL 12:00 ET  ABC

The rollercoaster nature of Miami has football bettors gravitating towards the more stable Clemson institution, who has been elevated two points to -6.5. Both offenses can move the ball but the Tigers are 10th in total defense and the Hurricanes are 61st. Miami coach Al Golden is 14-3 ATS as home underdog in his career.

Betting Trend – 76% backing Clemson

CFB – (335) MIAMI-O at (336) WESTERN MICHIGAN  2:00 ET  W-ESPN

Western Michigan punished a good Ohio U. club on the road and is beginning to meet preseason prognostications. Miami-O is 1-6 and is being outscored by 22.1 PPG, which has the oddsmakers lifting the Broncos from -22 to -25. With Western Michigan 8-0 after scoring 37 or more points, hard to pass on them if they come to play.

Betting Trend – 96% backing Western Michigan

CFB – (339) WYOMING at (340) BOISE STATE  10:15 ET  ESPN2

Wyoming upset Nevada at home 28-21 for their first win of the season, while Boise State had one of their worst games ever in committing seven first half turnovers and eight in all in brutal loss to Utah State 52-26. The belief is the Broncos will want to pound somebody and they went from -31 to -35.

Betting Trend – 90% backing Boise State

CFB – (353) TEXAS A&M at (354) MISSISSIPPI  7:00 ET  ESPN

Two SEC squads off ugly defeats and the early preference is the home team is more likely to get back on track. Mississippi opened as -4 home favorites and they are up to -6 at many sportsbooks. Texas A&M appears ill-suited for this matchup and is 13-30 ATS in road games versus teams scoring 34 or more points a game.

Betting Trend – 91% backing Texas A&M

CFB – (355) VIRGINIA at (356) NORTH CAROLINA 3:30 ET  FSN Affil.

North Carolina has won five in row, covering the spread four times and is better offensively and defensively than they have been in years. If is the same old story for Virginia under coach Mike London and the Tar Heels have plenty of backers, taking them from -14.5 to -18. The Cavaliers are 2-9 ATS after a win by six or less. io

Betting Trend – 61% backing North Carolina

CFB – (401) WESTERN KENTUCKY at (402) LSU  7:00 ET  ESPNU

Western Kentucky has one of the best passing offenses in the country. Here is the dilemma, can the Hilltoppers slow an imposing LSU pass rush to give QB Brandon Doughty time to throw and will the Tigers keep the ball for long expanses with their potent running game? LSU has gone from -15 to -17. 

Betting Trend – 58% backing LSU


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