College Football Line Moves and Free Picks for Nov. 6-7


Another great football weekend is upon us and we have all the latest college football line moves and information. Some are updates, some are brand spanking new, but all come with the latest betting trends and free picks. Plus we have other game notes you need to know. Please return on Sunday for our Week 9 addition of the NFL. (Download the – Playbook Cube – on your phone to read this daily also)

CFB – Friday (319) TEMPLE at (320) SMU  8:00 ET  ESPN2  (side and total)

SMU is 1-7 (4-4 ATS) and allows 43.6 PPG, but there is general skepticism that Temple will not be mentally sharp to play their best after great effort against Notre Dame and has dipped from -14 to -12.5. However, the Mustangs are 1-8 ATS at home when they allow 28 or more points. Update – An uptick on the Owls back to -13 or -13.5. The strongest indicator this could be correct, the total has bottomed out like the L.A. Lakers, from 58-51, which is more Temple style. Betting Trend – 85% backing Temple and 80% on Over Doug’s VPID TakeTemple covers and lean Over


Neither of these Sun Belt clubs is having a good season. ULL is 1-4 ATS in their past five games and Georgia State is 1-4 SU. With the Panthers at home and having covered four of past six, bettors are backing them, down from +6.5 to +4. When the money moves on home teams this way, they are 21-9 ATS. Update – Nothing Ragin’ about these Cajuns, now all the way down to -2. Based on betting trends, sharp money moving this line. Betting Trend – 75% backing UL- Lafayette Doug’s VPID TakeLean Georgia State

CFB – (345) SYRACUSE at (346) LOUISVILLE  12:30 ET  W-ESPN/ACC  *New”

The only team Louisville has scored more than 21 points again since the third game was Samford (45) and they have failed to cover three in row. That is why the Cardinals creeping up from -12 to -14 is a mild surprise. Understandably Syracuse losing five in a row plays a part, as does the fact they have conceded 39.2 PPG in that stretch. With the Orange 6-0 ATS after allowing 42 or more points, might have to go that direction. Betting Trend – 52% backing Louisville Doug’s VPID TakeSyracuse covers

CFB – (347) CINCINNATI at (348) HOUSTON  2:30 ET  ESPN2  *New”

The AAC is going to garner quite a bit of attention and deservedly so over the next few weeks. Houston has a major test with Cincinnati and you don’t have to be Neil deGrasse Tyson to understand why the total went from 68 to 73. We have two very potent offenses, but before we go overboard, let’s keep in mind the Cougars are only giving up 17.2 PPG. Not saying they hold the Bearcats that low, but a total in the upper 60’s makes more sense to this football handicapper. Betting Trend – 77% backing Over Doug’s VPID TakePlay Under


This is a die-hard bettors special, even bothering to look into this line. New Mexico State beat Idaho in OT 55-48 for first win of season and though Texas State is only 2-5 SU, the Aggies are rising underdogs from +14 to +16. New Mexico State is a sorry football program and has not covered consecutive game since 2013. Update – By Wednesday the Bobcats were up to -17. Prefer to pass but will stick with original thought. Betting Trend – 63% backing Texas State

Doug’s VPID TakeLean Texas State

CFB – (371) CENTRAL FLORIDA at (372) TULSA  12:00 ET  ESPN-N

Central Florida is playing like a team whose season cannot get over fast enough at 0-9 and 1-8 ATS. They are being crushed by 21.3 PPG and little wonder the Knights are up from +14 to +16.5. Only real concern is Tulsa is 3-12 ATS at home since 2013, but it should not matter. Update – Slight bump up to 17 and with the way UCF is going through the motions, either take Tulsa or pass. Betting Trend – 86% backing Tulsai Doug’s VPID TakeTulsa covers

CFB – (377) ARIZONA at (378) USC  10:30 ET  ESPN  (side and total) *New”

This was the USC team we thought we would see, at least offensively. The new coaches are better utilizing all the Trojans varied weapons. Off their worst loss in Seattle in 24 years, Arizona is trying to hold up from a series of injuries and is one of a few teams playing without a bye this season and looks ill-prepared to battle USC. Bettors also agree and have moved USC three points higher to -20. The Men of Troy are 10-2 ATS at home after two consecutive covers as favorites. The total is also on the rise from 64 to 67. which correlates to the Trojans offense and tired Wildcats defense. Betting Trend – 78% backing USC and 75% on Over Doug’s VPID TakeUSC covers and Over

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.comCFB – (395) LSU at (396) ALABAMA  8:00 ET CBS *New”

With the way this total is gone, you wonder if either team will get a first down. The opening number of 54 is done to 46, which is one of the biggest total alternations all season. Hard to say it is not correct, but one turnover could ruin direction of move. Last five games have 4-0-1 UNDER mark and the Push was the only one in the 50’s since 2001. Betting Trend – 69% backing Under Doug’s VPID TakeLean Under

CFB – (401) CALIFORNIA at (402) OREGON  10:30 ET  ESPN2  *New”

With Oregon defense being blistered for 38.4 PPG and 0-4 ATS at Autzen Stadium, the usually public multi-uniformed Ducks have fallen out of favor with bettors and sinking from -6 to -4 against California. Completely understandable, if you want to ignore the Golden Bears defense has hardly been golden at 32.1 PPG allowed in their last six contests. The mighty Cal offense which pundits were starting to tout QB Jared Goff as high draft choice at the next level, in last three outings Bears offense has gone into hibernation at 23 PPG. With Oregon 9-1and 8-2 ATS against Cal, I’ll take short number. Betting Trend – 74% backing Oregon Doug’s VPID TakeOregon covers

CFB – (407) MARSHALL at (408) MID. TENNESSEE ST.  3:30 ET  FSN Aff.

Marshall is 5-0 in C-USA action, but is being called upon to struggled at Floyd Stadium. The Thundering Herd’s defense has been terrific in league play in allowing 11.4 PPG, but in spite of this and Middle Tennessee State 1-4 SU and ATS of late, Marshall has gone from +1 to +3.  Nonetheless, the Herd is 10-2 ATS after 17 or more point victory and one can only surmise a large bet or two came in on the Blue Raiders. Update – On Friday morning, began to see the first signs of doubt about the Blue Raiders, with several books down to -2.5. Betting Trend – 81% backing Marshall Doug’s VPID TakeMarshall covers


When you review the stats from these Pac-12 teams last contests, hard to fathom either lost but they did. Washington State is playing better football as 6-1 ATS record indicates and the Cougars are up from -1 to -2.5. Arizona State is 4-13 ATS away after a conference loss as favorite. Update – Virtually no movement on this Pac-12 contest all week, with betting markets satisfied. Betting Trend – 69% backing Washington State Doug’s VPID TakeWashington State covers

CFB – (419) IDAHO at (420) SOUTH ALABAMA 3:00 ET W-ESPN

It was hard to imagine Idaho as a seven-point favorite against anyone and they lost at New Mexico State in OT. The Vandals are back in more familiar underdog role and growing, up 2.5 points to +9.5. While South Alabama should roll, they are extremely inconsistent and 6-15 ATS at home. Update – USA has held steady since Tuesday at this price which is a little odd given the wagering trend. Betting Trend – 78% backing South Alabama Doug’s VPID TakeLean Idaho    Other CFB Betting News – For the life of me could not figure out why Illinois would go from -1.5 to -4 at Purdue and after digging, found top running back Josh Ferguson is back from injury to help dormant running game. Still not sold on Illini favored on the road…..The ACC total on Duke and North Carolina lifting from 54 to 58 would seem to favor the Tar Heels…..Western Kentucky total against FAU up from 64 to 68, shocking! (not)…..Georgia has scored one total touchdown in past three games if you subtract Tennessee tilt, yet total against Kentucky up four digits to 58.5. How bad is Wildcats defense?…..In service academy affair, Army/Air Force ground battle has dipped from 54 to 50…..Utah at Washington total sliding from 48.5 to 44, thanks to good defense and 80% chance of rain in Seattle, go figure…..Ohio State home game with Minnesota total up from 49.5 to 53. Seems like Buckeyes offense will have to make that happen.


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