We are past the halfway point of the college football season and as we begin the second half, we take look at all the biggest early line moves and betting trends. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (297-239 of late and recent 82-64 mark), when we post them, to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.
CFB –Thursday– (303) MIAMI-FL at (304) VIRGINIA TECH 7:00 ET ESPN
The ACC Coastal Division is wide open and games like they are going to help pare down who the real contenders are. Early football bettors believe Virginia Tech is the team of choice, raising them from -4 to -5.5 or -6, depending on the sportsbook. Miami can cover this number, but has to restore passion, which was missing last week.
Betting Trend – 60% Miami-Fl.
CFB – (331) EAST. MICHIGAN at (332) WEST. MICHIGAN 3:30 ET W-ESPN
If you have not seen Western Michigan play, this is a team very capable of finishing the regular season at 13-0 and if accomplished, could become the second MAC team to make a major bowl in five years. Even against an much improved rival like Eastern Michigan, the Broncos are up two points to -23.5, however, the Eagles are 6-1 ATS this year.
Betting Trend – 75% backing Western Michigan
CFB – (327) INDIANA at (328) NORTHWESTERN 3:30 ET BTN
Despite Northwestern winning consecutive times on the road as underdog, they have fallen from -4.4 to -1.5 home favorites against ever improving Indiana. The Hoosiers a vastly stronger on both lines and the fact the Wildcats are 13-26 ATS as home favorites the last 11 years plays into line movement.
Betting Trend – 83% backing Indiana
CFB –(335) NORTH CAROLINA at (336) VIRGINIA 3:00 ET W-ESPN
Virginia is making progress as with first-year head coach and has for a second straight week been lowered as home underdog, this time two digits to +8. After watching how Pittsburgh pushed the Cavaliers around, North Carolina has even more diverse offense and not sure they can keep up with Tar Heels, even with 9-3 SU and ATS record against UNC.
Betting Trend – 93% backing North Carolina
CFB – (337) N.C. STATE at (338) LOUISVILLE 12:00 ET ABC
Despite 469 yards gained, Louisville only tallied 24 points at home against Duke last Friday. Evidently, N.C. State almost knocking off Clemson did not make bettors fear the Wolfpack, as the Cardinals have been juiced from -15.5 to -20. Maybe Louisville’s big play passing game dooms N.C. State, but I would wait to see if the numbers sinks before backing the ‘Ville.
Betting Trend – 61% backing N.C. State
CFB – (353) CHARLOTTE at (354) MARSHALL 5:30 ET BEIN-SP
With Marshall down this year and Charlotte more competitive coming off a pair of covers, the Thundering Herd is not making any noise in wagering circles and has slipped from -18 to -14. Both defenses are allowing over 37 PPG, which from the spread perspective gives the 49ers a shot at producing a winning ticket. i
Betting Trend – 67% backing Charlotte
CFB – (377) OREGON STATE at (378) WASHINGTON 6:30 ET PAC-12N
With Oregon State losing starting quarterback for the season and his backup out this week, the Beavers facing unbeaten Washington is a daunting task and they have gone from +31.5 to +35.5. These are coin flip bets, because the Huskies beat the spread if they want to with superior talent and clearly in a great position.
Betting Trend – 82% backing Washington
Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 229-212-2
Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 154-125-1
Line Movement Direction Record – 393-354-3