Let’s start another week of college football with all the latest line moves, and our picks had a great weekend and further built our long term records. Included is MAC game tonight. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (340-267 of late and recent 123-93 mark), when we post them, to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.
CFB – Today – (101) WESTERN MICHIGAN at (102) KENT ST. 7:30 ET ESPN2
If the election results are boring you, you might want to check out Western Michigan, who has a real shot at making it to a Super Six bowl if they keep blowing teams out and end up 13-0. We spotted this team in their opener at Northwestern, where they outgained the Wildcats by 97 yards and got the victory. We are not the only one’s anymore as the Broncos have been ridden from -18 to -21.5 at Kent State. Going over 20 points chases me off a formal choice on this game sends me to lean status.
Betting Trend – 80% backing Western Michigan
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Western Michigan
CFB – Thursday – (111) NORTH CAROLINA at (112) DUKE 7:30 ET ESPN
Though both these teams have Under tendencies this season, based on the how the sportsbooks set the odds, this ACC action has seen the total pumped up from 56.5 to 59. Though first inclination was to think points and go along with the line moves, once we found Duke is 10-1 UNDER in Durham, changed thought process.
Betting Trend – 74% backing Over
CFB – (123) CINCINNATI at (124) CENTRAL FLORIDA 12:00 ET ESPNU
Cincinnati at the minimum was thought to be a contender in the AAC East, but with a 1-4 record, that never happened. Central Florida changed head coach’s after winless 2015 and with one more win are bowl eligible. The Knights are where the action is, up two points to -12.5. Everyone is running on the Bearcats, expect UCF to do the same.
Betting Trend – 54% backing Cincinnati
CFB – (135) TULSA at (136) NAVY 12:00 ET CBSSN
The winner of this ACC West battle places themselves in position to win the division. Navy was sent out as -1 point home favorite, yet by Monday morning they had been flipped to +1.5. While Tulsa can score and has been great on the road against the spread, Navy’s offensive style and 10-1 ATS home record will be the difference.
Betting Trend – 72% backing Navy
CFB – (165) KENTUCKY at (166) TENNESSEE 12:00 ET SECN
Kentucky had Georgia on the ropes and should have beaten them but could not close the deal. Despite three consecutive SEC losses, Tennessee can still win the SEC if Florida falters once. The Wildcats are much improved, yet the Vols have superior talent and have been pushed from -11 to -13 and should cover with Kentucky 3-11 ATS in November.
Betting Trend – 51% backing Kentucky
CFB –(167) SOUTH CAROLINA at (168) FLORIDA 12:00 ET CBS
With Florida’s Luke Del Rio expected to be out again as Florida quarterback, football bettors confidence level of Gators offense is sinking and that is reflected in down two digits to -12. South Carolina has won three straight, all at home, but with total at 37, the Gamecocks are 13-4 ATS on the road when total is under 43.
Betting Trend – 96% backing South Carolina
CFB – (205) VANDERBILT at (206) MISSOURI 3:30 ET SECN
Somebody sees something here that is not obvious. Missouri has no wins or covers in last five games yet was beefed up from -1 to -3.5 over Vanderbilt. While the Commodores has offensive limitations, they have scored against weak defenses like the Tigers. Being able to catch the half point hook has us tailing Vandy. io
Betting Trend – 94% backing Vanderbilt
CFB – (209) MICHIGAN at (210) IOWA 8:00 ET ABC
The release of Michigan at -17.5 was not been enough for Big Ten bettors, with Wolverines all the way to -21.5. While Iowa certainly would appear tempting at home, they have limited offense resources which the Wolverines can shutoff and the Hawkeyes run defense is nothing close to the past. Iowa is on 0-7 ATS conference spiral at home.
Betting Trend – 87% backing Michigan
Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 252-241-2
Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 166-135-1
Line Movement Direction Record – 429-392-3