The holiday weekend is just ahead and we have all the biggest early college football line moves. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (374-291 of late and recent 157-118 mark), when we post them, to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.
CFB – Thursday – (113) LSU at (114) TEXAS A&M 7:30 ET ESPN
Three weeks ago, this SEC clash was setup to be more interesting than NFL contest on Thanksgiving night, but that has changed, with both teams losing games and important players. Bettors were not sure this will as low scoring as advertised and pushed the total from 43 to 45. LSU at 9-1 UNDER still looks pretty good.
Betting Trend – 74% backing Over
CFB – Friday – (125) CINCINNATI at (126) TULSA 8:30 ET ESPNU
For football bettors, opposites attract and that explains why Tulsa has blown up from -19 to -22.5 against Cincinnati. The Bearcats offense has gone in witness protection program with 26 points and two touchdowns in last four games. The Golden Hurricane can hardly be contained and is averaging 45.8 PPG in their last five contests. Easy to understand!
Betting Trend – 76% backing Tulsa
CFB – (145) EAST CAROLINA at (146) TEMPLE 7:30 ET ESPNN
Temple wins the AAC East with victory over East Carolina and they are drumming up a lot of support, lifted from -17.5 to -20.5. With the Owls having covered the spread 10 straight times and the Pirates on a 1-8 ATS slide, even at this price, it sure seems like Temple or nothing for football betting.
Betting Trend – 95% backing Temple
CFB – (157) PURDUE at (158) INDIANA 12:00 ET ESPNU
Indiana needs a win to become bowl eligible and according to the line moves they will do so in resounding fashion. The Hoosiers have blown up from -15 to -20.5 against Purdue in the ‘Old Oaken Bucket’ battle. No doubt Indiana is better, but Purdue is 10-2 ATS on the Big Ten road and the Hoosiers still only average 29.5 PPG at home.
Betting Trend – 94% backing Indiana
CFB –(175) KENTUCKY at (176) LOUISVILLE 12:00 ET ESPN
As good as Louisville was this season, too many up and down efforts has them closing the season at 2-5-1 ATS. Enough of those betting football still have the rolling over rival Kentucky, as the Cardinals have flown from -23.5 to -26. Hard game to figure as both teams commit a lot of turnovers, which makes for more fluid situation.
Betting Trend – 78% backing Louisville
CFB – (179) NEVADA at (180) UNLV 4:00 ET W-ESPN
The Fremont Cannon is what these two Nevada based schools are after, both with 4-7 records. All the early action is on the home team, with UNLV up from -6 to -8.5. Though both has plenty of weaknesses, the difference is found with UNLV 14th nationally in rushing and Nevada the worst in the country stopping the run.
Betting Trend – 88% backing UNLV
CFB – (195) WESTERN KENTUCKY at (196) MARSHALL 8:00 ET ESPNU
What a stunning reversal! Two years ago in this very same location, Marshall was a 23.5 point home favorite, now the Thundering Herd are a +24 point home underdog, having been pushed up two points. Maybe Marshall can cover, but porous defense has to show up and they are 7-26 ATS when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play.
Betting Trend – 85% backing Western Kentucky
Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 274-258-3
Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 174-147-2
Line Movement Direction Record – 468-434-5