It is the all important month of November in college football and we have the current early line moves to get things started. Plus, we have added bonus of MAC attack game that goes tonight. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (323-260 of late and recent 108-86 mark), when we post them, to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.
CFB – Tonight – (301) BOWLING GREEN at (302) NORTHERN ILLINOIS 8:00 ET ESPNU
It’s November which means MAC football during the week just for football bettors or so it seems. The total in this contest blew up from 70 to 73, as Northern Illinois is allowing 33.5 PPG and Bowling Green is dramatically worse at 45.1 PPG. But I’m not seeing it and realize the Huskies are not the same defensive team as years past, but is still 11-3 UNDER after playing a game at home since 2014.
Betting Trend – 52% backing Under
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Under
CFB – (341) INDIANA at (342) RUTGERS 12:00 ET BTN
The way the rest of Indiana’s football schedule sets up, they could finish with a winning record for the first time since 2007, which would be only the second time this would have happened going back to 1995. Football bettors really like their chances to take the next step, moving them from -11.5 to -14 at Rutgers. However, the Hoosiers are 0-9 ATS after rushing for 350+ yards.
Betting Trend – 51% backing Indiana
CFB – (345) FLORIDA STATE at (346) N.C. STATE 7:00 ET ESPNU
Florida State already has three losses heading into November and the wagering public is not on this team, going down two points to -6 at N.C. State. While the Seminoles do not inspire confidence, betting the Wolfpack is a rollercoaster ride, as we have seen of late. Nevertheless, the Noles are 2-12-1 ATS vs. N.C. State.
Betting Trend – 90% backing Florida State
CFB – (387) FLORIDA INT. at (388) WEST. KENTUCKY 5:30 ET beIN SPT
Western Kentucky is starting to put it together, with the offense and defense both improving and the Hilltoppers have shot up from -26.5 to -30 against Florida International. Though it is a big number, Western Kentucky is 9-2 ATS after tallying 31 or more points in two straight outings, with FIU 10-24 ATS versus winning teams.
Betting Trend – 98% backing Western Kentucky
CFB –(393) OREGON at (394) USC 7:00 ET ESPN
Though Oregon ended their five-game losing streak, USC has won four in a row, often in domineering fashion and has been jettisoned from -14 to -17 over the Ducks. With the Trojans having scored 41 or more points in three of last four games, few believe college football’s 127th rated Oregon defense will hold USC back.
Betting Trend – 74% backing Oregon
CFB – (395) MARSHALL at (396) OLD DOMINION 7:00 ET MASN
Not even two years removed from Conference USA championship and 13-1 campaign, Marshall is 2-6 and has only one victory in league play and is up a whopping four points to +12 at Old Dominion. Remember, the Monarchs did not have football program in 2008 and this only third year in FBS football, but are only 4-7 ATS as home favorites. (3-0 ATS in 2016)
Betting Trend – 64% backing Old Dominion
CFB – (415) NEBRASKA at (416) OHIO STATE 8:00 ET ABC
Nebraska has their second straight extremely difficult road game, heading to Ohio State and has blossomed as away underdog from +13.5 to +17. The Buckeyes defense can limit any opponent and the Huskers QB Tommy Armstrong Jr. is turnover prone which could setup Ohio State for an easy score. However, Ohio State is 2-10 ATS in Columbus after one or more Under’s.
Betting Trend – 95% backing Nebraska
CFB – (417) NEVADA at (418) NEW MEXICO 10:15 ET ESPNU
With New Mexico on a 4-1 run and Nevada just the opposite at 1-4, the Lobos have risen from -12 to -14.5. With the Wolf Pack 124th against the run and New Mexico now leading the nation in rushing at 357 YPG, how does Nevada slow them down? The Lobos are 11-3 ATS in the second half of the season since 2014.
Betting Trend – 90% backing Nevada
Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 243-235-2
Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 163-127-1
Line Movement Direction Record – 415-380-3