College Football Betting Preview: ACC Season Win Totals, Play Over or Under?

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The ACC has positioned itself as a conference to be reckoned with in future years, however, what matters to most people is the here and now. It was a terrific story of Clemson winning the league crown, but the humiliating destruction that took place in the Orange Bowl against West Virginia did nothing for the conference to earn respect. Florida State was supposed be Florida State last year, but too many injuries and youth at the wrong spots curtailed their effectiveness. This should not occur in 2012. Clemson’s offense overcame its defense for a 10-4 season, but chances are that will not happen again. With North Carolina still being dogged by the NCAA for past transgressions, Virginia Tech is the team to beat in the Coastal Division. Here is a look at each team’s current odds to win the ACC title and their projection for season wins.

Atlantic Division

Florida State +100 (odds to win the conference) Projected win total Ov9.5

Florida State footballThe Seminoles were not ready to reclaim their spot as the best team in the ACC. Instead, everything has been pushed back a year and Florida State should be poised to conquer this season. With 17 starters in the fold and the best defensive line in the country, Jimbo Fisher knows he will not have any more breathing room in Tallahassee. What could take the Noles from very good to great is quarterback EJ Manuel and the offensive line. Manuel does have flaws and cannot fall into the same patterns that caused FSU to lose three in a row. The O-Line was so bad; line coach Rick Trickett started four freshmen in the Champs Sports Bowl. This group has to play at a championship level. Florida State has three road games in a month starting Sept. 29 and if they emerge unscathed, the Nov. 8 battle at Virginia Tech will be a monster. 3DW Position – Play Over

Clemson +550 – Ov8.5

For Clemson to repeat as ACC champs, two elements must occur. First, Tajh Boyd must be able to duplicate last year’s success, connecting with a fine array of receivers and keep finding a solid running game. Secondly is new defensive coordinator Brent Venables connecting immediately with his new troops and remaking the defensive line. Even if the defense permits five fewer points, this might offset any anticipated offensive declines. The way the schedule is laid out, the Tigers will want to start fast and beating Auburn in Atlanta in the opener  prevents any bowl game carryover. Other than at Florida State on Sept. 29, Clemson will be favored in the other road conflicts and should reach nine wins, unless they regress to Clemson teams of the past. 3DW Position – Play Under

N.C. State +2300 – Un7.5

Coach Tom O’Brien has established his blue print for football in Raleigh with two straight winning campaigns and a third is in the near future. QB Mike Glennon stepped in admirably for Russell Wilson and carried his club after a 2-3 start. Glennon has above average pass catchers and a pair of outstanding safety valve receivers in running backs James Washington and Tony Creecy. Having to replace all the linebackers positions will likely cut into the +14 turnover margin, but having all four ball-hawks in the secondary, led by CB David Amerson, could smooth the transition. If everything gelled, one could make a case for N.C. State winning 10 games. However, the opposite is also true with .500 season also lurking. Let’s spilt it down the middle and call for 8-4. 3DW Position – Play Over

Wake Forest +5000 – Un5.5

After a two-year absence, Wake Forest was back in the bowl picture, thanks to Jim Grobe redoing his staff and recruiting more speed. Oddsmakers see the Demon Deacons needing to overachieve to make another bowl appearance in 2012. For Wake Forest, it will be what’s up front that counts, having to replace several offensive and defensive linemen. If the fresh troops are ready, there is quite a bit of talent in other areas, making the Deacons a surprise outfit. If the lines do not form into cohesive units, Wake Forest will fall short of anticipated goals. 3DW Position – Play Under

Boston College +7500 – Un5.5

When you have scored 19 points or less in almost 70 percent of your conference games the past two years, this calls for drastic measures. Boston College brings in Doug Martin to be the offensive coordinator to distance themselves from bland football. Martin’s expertise is working with quarterbacks and his first mission is straightening out junior Chase Rettig. If that works, only one starter from a year ago has to be replaced. The Eagles defense had their moments in 2011, but it was still the first B.C. stop troops to conceded more than 20 points (23.5) in four years. Jazzing up the pass rush would help after registering less than a sack a game (11) last season. Too many pieces have to fit just right to make it a successful campaign at Chestnut Hill. 3DW Position – Play Under

Maryland +12500 – Un4.5

No two ways about, coach Randy Edsall’s dream job was a nightmare this past year. Nothing went right for Edsall and he has overhauled the entire program, making even more waves and not quieting his critics. Maryland becoming a .500 team seems like a job for Criss Angel, not a football coach. If injured LB Kenny Tate can help turnaround the bumbling Terps defense, this is a step in the right direction. C.J. Brown has to emerge as an efficient field general and rally the offense, making wise decisions. Do not expect a quick recovery in College Park; nevertheless, four wins at Byrd Stadium and a victory at Temple shove the Turtles in the correct direction. 3DW Position – Play Over

Coastal Division

Virginia Tech +300 – Ov8.5

Virginia Tech footballWith nine defenders ready to attack, the Virginia Tech defense is set to be as ferocious as ever under the direction of DC Bud Foster. Coach Frank Beamer might need this contingent to be vintage 2005-06, with just three offensive returnees. The defense suffered multiple injuries a year ago, however, everyone is presumed ready at this juncture for Labor Day opener with Georgia Tech. One major concern is the secondary, which is perilously thin beyond the starters. Logan Thomas blossomed in his first year as starter and will be counted on heavily to bear the burden of the Hokies offense. With minuscule experience on offense, unexpected losses will occur, but with Beamer as coach, nine wins seems a certainty. 3DW Position – Play Over

North Carolina  – Ov7.5

The additional NCAA repercussions will keep first-year coach Larry Fedora from playing for a Coastal Division crown. That will not stop the aggressive Fedora from wanting his new squad to win the division anyways and have them send the second-best team to the ACC championship. The North Carolina offense will be radically different under Fedora, who prefers the fast-tempo no-huddle look. Bryn Renner has shown adaptability and being able to hand the ball to RB Giovani Bernard simplifies this new arrangement. What might hold the Tar Heels back is switching to a 4-2-5 defense, possibly surrendering too many big plays this season. How swiftly UNC adjusts to changes will determine their fate. 3DW Position – Play Under

Georgia Tech +1200 – Ov7.5

If this sounds familiar, you are correct. Georgia Tech will average well over 400 yards rushing and have a tepid passing game. Coach Paul Johnson is stressing a greater attention to detail and has stated last year’s squad would have won 10 games, not eight, with better execution. Maybe it will make the difference like it did in 2009 when the Yellow Jackets were ACC champions; nonetheless, QB Tevin Washington cannot have a streak of seven contests without a touchdown pass. Look for the Techsters to work more up the field on defense and dump the “hold the point” defense with reportedly better athletes showing more maturity and strength. If the Jackets do not take advantage of a very favorable home schedule, they can only blame themselves. 3DW Position – Play Over

Miami +1700 – Ov6.5

Al Golden might be the Hurricanes coach, yet it is hardly the start of the golden era in Miami. With heavy personnel losses (10 total starters back) and no guaranteed wins besides Bethune-Cookman, this young football squad will suffer growing pains. That doesn’t mean Miami is not capable of an upset or two this upcoming season, instead, it suggests a roller-coaster ride is a more likely scenario. Unless QB Stephen Morris immediately connects with his non-seasoned pass catchers, another .500 season will keep life pretty dull around Coral Gables. 3DW Position – Play Under

Virginia +1900 – Un6.5

Mike London squeezed eight victories out of an ordinary Virginia squad that was 5-1 in games determined by a touchdown or less. With only a dozen players returning to Charlottesville, London could use additional mojo. The offense should have more juice with receivers that have true speed for the first time in years, providing QB Michael Rocco more options down the field. The defense really improved in 2011 because of the D-Line, which has to replace everyone except DE Jake Snyder. Because of retooling in numerous areas, making it back to eight victories seems like a reach unless the Cavaliers can post their first positive numbers in turnover margin is five years. 3DW Position – Play Under

Duke +13000 – Ov3.5

The last time Duke went to a bowl game was 1994 and the feeling is that unfortunate streak will continue. While this could be true, coach David Cutcliffe is accentuating the positive with 17 starters back. For the Blue Devils to sniff a 6-6 season, the offensive line has to establish a consistent running game for QB Sean Renfree. The defense has the talent to improve by four or five points and Duke actually has visible depth in this area since Boyz II Men was still relevant. For this season to be anything different than the recent past, the Blue Devils have win games in which the spread will be six or less going either way. 3DW Position – Play Over

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