Today’s betting odds in the NHL have no less than five favorites of at least -200 on the money line. While some underdog players will go all in and take all five seeking the pot of gold, I will not.
Hockey is not like baseball for money line betting, you see far fewer large favorite lose in the NHL during the regular season because of the talent gaps and you don’t have a pitcher who for reasons unknown, could just have a bad day. While the same could be true of a goalie who would be the person most similar to a starting pitcher, a top goaltender still stops better than nine of 10 shots, while a pitcher for the most part has a finite number of batters he can strikeout, thus having less control of the outcome.
For NHL picks, I am not advocating taking all five chalk favorites, as Nashville and Detroit gives me some concerns at home, as does Anaheim on the road. Instead, I prefer three other faves and completely realize I essentially have to go 3-0 to extend daily winning streak to six and I believe I have the right trio of choices to defeat the NHL odds this day.
At first glance, Pittsburgh (40-32 SU) looks to be overvalued. The Penguins have won six in a row and 10 of 13 and are only four points behind the New York Rangers for second place in the Metropolitan Division. Though it might be true Pitt might be a little overvalued, they are facing New Jersey’s third string netminder Scott Wedgewood, who is making his second start. With Cory Schneider injured and his backup Keith Kincaid struggling (13 goals allowed in his last three starts), coach John Hynes has turned to Wedgewood. The Devils (35-38 SU) postseason hopes are fading fast in losing 10 of 16.
Pittsburgh at -270 is not for everyone, but they are 12-1 playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season.
Free Pick – Pittsburgh wins
San Jose (41-32 SU) realized this was a very important homestand, with six games and real chance to gain ground in the Western Conference and their division. After taking the first two contests, they were shutout by St. Louis 1-0. The Sharks had the chances with a 37-24 shots edge and were unable to score with an extended 5 on 3 power play.