Betting Odds for Baseball – Smoking Hot Run Line Winners

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The start of the weekend commences and we have a number of new series starting providing us new options for MLB picks. Our focus against the betting odds will be on run line plays.

The sportsbooks numbers are out and I will profess we do not have as much value as we have seen the last few days, which meant I just have to work a little harder as a baseball handicapper, which is a good thing.

Having hit six in a row and eight of nine, let’s delve into Friday for sports picks.

Bet Max with Max in Philly

Washington NationalsIn Max Scherzer’s (8-5, 1.76 ERA) last two starts he has complete game shutouts, striking out 26 and allowing one  hit, one walk and one questionable hit batsman which cost him a perfect game. These performances are not fluky since the right-hander is conceding a major league-low .181 batting average against and has the lowest WHIP in baseball at 0.80.

With Philadelphia averaging a mere 3.3 runs per game and Scherzer posting a  1.23 ERA in three starts versus the Phillies this season, hard to imagine they score many times. Sportsbooks have the Nationals as -120 run line favorites (-1.5) and with Washington on a six-game winning streak and showing signs of life offensively, they should be able to plate several times against Aaron Harang (4-9, 3.41). The aging righty has pitched well again to start a season, but his 7.05 ERA in past three starts is showing he might be returning to normal. With Mad Max  24-11 on the RL versus teams whose hitters strike out seven or more times a game the last two seasons, the Nats are the right play.

Contrarian Play on Buehrle and Blue Jays

While their record road record in not the best at 22-17, Texas has been the finest wager away from home against the MLB odds at +17.3 units. And even though Nick Martinez (5-3, 2.77) has been exceptional for the Rangers at 6-1 as road underdog (Rangers record), I’m flying with the Blue Jays.

 

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