Betting Odds – Auburn Tigers are toothless Favorites over Mississippi State

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If you had Auburn for futures bet as SEC champion at the sportsbook of your choice,  you are very much aware you face a Mt. Everest battle against the betting odds to cash that ticket as a winner.

In retrospect, we had a clue in the opener the Tigers might not be all they were cracked up to be. This was written off a first game jitters and just getting started, along with Louisville supposedly a pretty good club, which has turned out not to be true. The lucky Jacksonville State OT win was cause for concern for many football handicappers and those placing college football picks, but others made the excuse Auburn was looking ahead to LSU.

The Tigers from the bayou put an end to that thought process in destroying Auburn. Gus Malzahn’s troops are dazed and if they don’t bounce back against a treacherous Mississippi State club,  a minor bowl bid is in Auburn’s future.

When Mississippi State Has the Ball

The Bulldogs arrive on the Plains of Alabama, bursting with confidence, having set a school record 647 yards of total offense against an obviously overmatched Northwestern State crew in the 73-14 thumping. Mississippi State has the best quarterback in the SEC in Dak Prescott, who has learned to add touch to his passes and become complete quarterback.

The Bulldogs also have a good rushing attack at 5.7 yards per carry and they will no doubt test Auburn up front, seeing they are allowing 5.7 YPC, which is 119th in college football.

When Auburn Has the Ball

Auburn TigersCoach Malzahn is between a rock and a hard place with his normally potent offensive schemes. QB Jeremy Johnson has more interceptions than touchdown passes (6 vs. 5) and with the offensive line, quarterback and running backs not in harmony, Auburn is averaging 172 yards per game on the ground at only 4.4 YPC. (Update 9/22 – Johnson benched, Sean White new starting quarterback)

Auburn has been a fast-paced high volume play offense, but because they not clicking and the defense cannot get off the field, the Tigers are slowing the pace and averaging only 59 plays a game.

What the Bulldogs Have to do on Defense

Defensively, Mississippi State has mostly faced one dimensional offenses and done a pretty good job, holding teams to 16.7 PPG compared to their average of 29.6. The Bulldogs have held far better Auburn offenses to 19 PPG the past three seasons, but they have to expect Auburn to come out playing fast to get off to a quick start.

 

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