The last couple of days explain why any number of professional bettors “hate” interleague baseball, especially when it is all bunched together like they are this week and disrupts the rhythm so many prefer. For accomplished players who understand betting baseball and for the most part profit annually, there is a certain pace to how teams and you can develop a – sixth sense – where you can just feel when certain teams will win or lose.
These types of bettors will swear interleague play interrupts the norm, creates unusual outcomes and makes the whole process guess work instead of astute analysis. In talking to these types of bettors over the years, I will confess at least a portion of what they have told me makes sense, at least on the surface, however, the randomness of baseball allows for abrupt starts and stops and is hard to pin on playing teams from another league.
I was able to contact a few of these people to find out what they thought about baseball’s scheduling formula of have “natural” rivals playing essentially a four-game series, with a pair of games at each ball yard. While a couple were more level-headed than in past conversations we had on the general topic, others were like vampires, frightened by me bringing up a topic like it was the new light of the day and they scurried away back to their coffins to hide from this beast.
I will concede some of the events which have taken place the last two days do not fit the – makes sense – meter. The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim finally look like the team many expected in winning eight straight and they always beat their I-5 enemies no matter how good or bad either team is. Yet the Halos returned to their dysfunctional ways, blowing a five-run lead one night and are shutout the next, ending revival talk at least for now.
The Yankees have the best overall record in interleague play and are dependable like In-N-Out Burger, always knowing what you are going to send to your taste buds. Yet this year, the Bronx Bombers take 1-0 leads into the eighth and ninth innings in respective contests at Citi Field and surrender two runs each time and lose twice. If this happened against Seattle in April would anyone really notice, probably not, but it didn’t and yes, people noticed.
While these battles went against the norm, others stayed the course. Cincinnati swept a pair over Cleveland, making it 14-2 for the home team in the chase for the Ohio Cup. We know the Brewers and Twins pitching is not very good, but how do you explain after two more encounters going past the oddsmakers totals, these teams are on a 10-3-1 OVER run?
We certainly acknowledge the circumstances are more perplexing this time around. How will the Yankees, Angels, Indians, Brewers, Giants, Rangers, Royals and Marlins respond after dropping a pair, being either home or away?
This is exactly why they call it gambling.