A Little Catching Up to Do, Thought I Would Share What I Have Been Up To

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Betting Baseball – Oakland Ousts the Angels in Game 1 of Series Opener

Though it is only Week 6 of the baseball season, this will be the eighth game between the Angels and Athletics and the third time we will have the same exact starting pitching matchup.

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.comOver the years this has been a heated rivalry and is known for the visitor winning on the road and while it has cooled a bit with both clubs just trying to reach .500, things can change in a moment’s notice.

Pitching Matchup – Nolasco vs. Graveman

Privately, manager Mike Scioscia probably still wonders what happened. This one proud franchise has been reduced to complete mediocrity but a poor front office, overbearing ownership and Scioscia also contributing to the mess. Los Angeles has seen more than their share of pitching injuries, which is why they are stuck with pitchers like Ricky Nolasco (2-2, 4.68 ERA). At best, the 34-year right-hander should be a fifth starter, yet in Anaheim, he’s one of their top rung and concedes a .292 batting average and has been tagged for nine home runs in just 32.2 innings. Nolasco is 4-3 with a 3.34 ERA in nine career starts against Oakland.

Kendall Graveman (2-2, 3.95) at 26 could be described as a young Ricky Nolasco. When Nolasco was Graveman’s age, he had a low to mid-90’s fastball and good slider. As long as he kept the ball low, Nolasco was effective, which perfectly fits Graveman’s career to this juncture. After a good start, Graveman is 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA since coming off the DL. The A’s righty is 2-2 with a 3.28 ERA in eight starts versus L.A.A.

Do Not Be Fooled, These Are Anemic Clubs

Despite both these AL West are still within the .500 range, they will not be for long. Oakland is 12th in runs scored in the AL at 3.9 and the team from Anaheim is 13th at 3.8. Take away Yonder Alonso and Mike Trout from these squads and the scoring average dips further.

One of my favorite stats in score differential, which is a good measuring stick of how good a team is. Consider the A’s are 14th in run differential in the AL and the Halos are 12th and their close to .500 record will soon be offset by Oakland having 4-11 record in games determined by four or more runs and the Angels being at 2-7 in same category.

Betting Odds, History and Bullpen Numbers

The MLB odds opened with Oakland at -133, but that has fallen to essentially a Pick with the news of Trout upgraded to ‘probable’ after missing last two contests with strained hamstring. In either case the total has remained at 8.5. Los Angeles has won five of seven this season (5-2 UNDER also) and is 13-9 at the Coliseum the past three years with the total 12-9-1 UNDER. The Angels are ninth in bullpen ERA in the junior circuit and the A’s are 10th.

The Winner Is……

For MLB picks, the current line of a tossup sure looks right when you consider all the flaws of both teams, yet for some reason the Angels are 2-13 in road games vs. teams outscored by one or more runs a game since 2015. I’ll give the nod to the A’s.

Free MLB Play – Oakland wins

Best Betting Line At ….

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Betting Baseball – Expect Limited Runs is White Sox and Orioles Finale

In the series finale, Chris Tillman makes his first start of the season after having right shoulder issue and seeing Baltimore is right near the Yankees for first place in the AL East, they have to feel good.

With Chicago’s Jose Quintana now pitching as expected, this becomes an intriguing contest for those betting baseball and putting out those MLB picks on a daily basis.

Pitching Matchup – Quintana vs. Tillman

After a rotten 0-4 start, Jose Quintana (2-4, 4.10 ERA) is starting to settle in with a couple victories. What has changed for the left-hander is more strikeouts and fewer walks and he’s been under less pressure to be perfect, with Chicago having scored 11 runs in his previous two outings compared to four total runs in his initial four starts. Runs or not, Quintana is throwing better quality strikes with the fastball and his breaking pitches. Quintana is 1-3 vs. the Orioles with 0.00 ERA.

Chris Tillman was plagued with shoulder discomfort in the spring and was shutdown. Now reportedly healthy, he makes his 2017 debut. Tillman is known for low 90’s fastball that has good movement and he’s one of those pitchers that gets in a nice groove and can put together six or seven excellent starts and then have three consecutive clunkers. He is ….

Both Offenses Have Been Running Hot and Cold

To a certain degree it is the nature of the sport, but both Chicago’s and Baltimore’s batting orders of late seem to reach seven runs or two, which makes them choppy to follow on the MLB odds. To date Jonathan Schoop and Chris Davis lead the regulars in on-base percentage and still providing a power bat, with Manny Machado leading the O’s with eight homers.

Unless Avisail Garcia and Jose Abreu are doing the damage, the Pale Hose offense tends to stall. Garcia has cooled some from hitting .400 for most of April, but Abreu has gotten in the swing of things and doing his part for the ChiSox. They both need more contributions from others.

Betting Odds, History and Bullpen Numbers

Baltimore opened up as a -130 home favorite with a total of 8.5 and everything has been shifted lower to -120 and 8. The Birds have won six of the past nine gatherings at Camden Yards and the total is 6-2-1 OVER. The Chicago bullpen has had a few lapses of late, yet still is third in the AL in ERA and has the lowest batting average surrendered. Baltimore is sixth in ERA.

The Winner Is……

I am going to presume Tillman will be in pretty good shape and as we talked about, Quintana is really rounding into form, which is why I will be thinking a lower scoring affair. Something in the 4-3, 4-2 area  and Chicago is 12-1 UNDER when this lefthander takes the mound.

Free MLB Play – Play Under

Best Betting Line At ….

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Betting Baseball – Yankees Bullpen the Difference Over Cubs on FOX

The Yankees hit dramatic three-run home run in the ninth inning to come from behind against the Chicago Cubs Friday and will try to win the series in televised FOX evening affair.

The Cubs are seemingly either coming from behind or blowing leads late in contests, while New York keeps doing all the little things to give them an 18-9 record (+7.8 units). That was the Cubs first loss when leading by two or more runs in 152 contests. For MLB picks, do the Yankees find a way to win or does Chicago take control for the W?

Pitching Matchup – Montgomery vs. Anderson

Left-handed Jordan Montgomery (1-1, 4.15 ERA) has made four starts and not been overmatched. He’s striking out better than a hitter an inning thanks to excellent breaking pitches. He is learning big league hitters are more patient and he’s walked 10 batters in only 21.2 innings and opposing hitters are hitting .275 against his tosses. He will face a Chicago lineup that is 5-2 versus lefties.

Brett Anderson (2-1, 6.23) has been very much like a fifth starter. An innings-eater sometimes blasted, like in his last outing for seven runs in 1.1 innings. Anderson might be fine on many average teams, but he’s on a club trying to win back to back World Series and this injury-prone pitcher looks to be nothing more than serviceable. New York is 4-1 vs. portsiders.

Wind Again Could Have Major Impact in Windy City

Friday’s game had winds blowing the flags in centerfield stiff from the north, negating both teams offensive prowess.  The only reason Brett Gardner went deep was he got the barrel on the bat of a low fastball and hit a line drive.

With two left-handed starters, all the right-handed batters on both teams have to avoid upper-cut swings because even hard hit balls with lift will die. For this contest, both teams hitters have to make pitchers throw strikes and look to hit line drives and go the other way.

Betting Odds and Bullpen Numbers

The MLB odds have the Cubs at -125 over New York, with the total to be released once the probable wind conditions are determined. The Yankees and Cubs bullpens rank fourth and fifth respectively in the major leagues based on ERA, but Chicago’s has been tagged for 12 home runs compared to New York’s five.

The Winner Is……

Tight call here on this one and I do not expect either starting pitcher to be around come the sixth inning no matter the wins conditions. I just believe New York at this time is more sound in its bullpen and it worth noting they are 10-0 versus teams whose hitters draw four walks or more a game.

Free MLB Play – New York Wins

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