VPID Early College Football Line Moves and Betting Trends for Oct.10th


Time to fire up the biggest early line moves in college football. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (285-251) to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow for NFL.

CFB – (137) TEXAS TECH at (138) WEST VIRGINIA  12:00 ET  ESPNU

West Virginia has played Virginia Tech and TCU close and came up short, while Texas Tech still looks the same, but has played better than expected. At least some bettors have liked what they have seen from the Red Raiders and lowered them from +6 to +3.5 in Morgantown. Keep in mind the Mountaineers are only 1-8 ATS at home off a road loss.

Betting Trend – 60% backing Texas Tech


Tulane brought back 16 starters and has only had one bad game and that was Oklahoma, which happens to many teams. Otherwise, the Green Wave are 4-0 ATS and 3-1 SU and are generating wagering enthusiasm being pumped up from -11 to -13. FIU is also 3-2 and has beaten opponents slightly worse clubs than them and been outclassed by superior opposition.

Betting Trend – 80% backing Tulane


Louisville does not have enough upper tier players to take down the elite squads in the ACC. Against those that have varying weaknesses, the Cardinals are expected to outclass them and have been elevated from -19.5 to -21.5 versus Boston College. As has been the case the last several years, the Eagles offense cannot score (16.3 PPG) and this will be their hindrance against Louisville.

Betting Trend – 76% backing Louisville

CFB – (167) UNLV at (168) AIR FORCE  2:00 ET  ATTRM

At first was taken aback that Air Force would have tumbled three points to -7.5 against UNLV. When I began looking at the statistical profile of each team, it was very similar on offense and defense, which changed my perspective, though the Falcons have played harder schedule. Still prefer Flyboys with Rebels 3-16 ATS away after a loss by 28 or more points.

Betting Trend – 84% backing Air Force


In this SBC showdown, Appalachian State has the more talented squad and is drawing that support for football bettors in being taken from -10 to -13. The Mountaineers in three previous meetings are 3-0 (2-0-1 ATS) and have enjoyed tremendous edge in speed. Idaho has closed the gap in talent and App. State lacks usual offensive firepower.

Betting Trend – 88% backing Appalachian State

CFB – (183) OHIO STATE at (184) NEBRASKA  7:30 ET  FS1

Nebraska could not contain Wisconsin running game, which means Ohio State will test their will from the get go. Since the Buckeyes loss to Oklahoma, there focus has increased and those betting football have raised them from -21.5 to -24 in Lincoln. With the Cornhuskers unable to stop the run and turnover-prone, Ohio State could put up a big number.

Betting Trend – 68% backing Ohio State

CFB – (189) BAYLOR at (190) OKLAHOMA STATE  3:30 ET  FS1

Oklahoma State’s confidence has take hit the last two games and they are off a bye looking to regain swagger and pound somebody in Stillwater. Baylor is 0-5, but has looked better the last couple games in covering the spread. The Bears have climbed from +23 to +25.5 and if passing offense clicks they could cover. If Cowboys have pass rush, lights out.

Betting Trend – 54% backing Oklahoma State


Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 218-220-10 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 144-112-4 ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 346-302-14 ATS


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