Rather quiet thus far on the Sweet 16 front other than one game with line moves. With this we will pick up two contests in the NBA. Also, no early line moves in Saturday’s Elite 8 encounters to speak of, but we do have a moving total in CIT action. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (36-19-1 of late), to see what we are thinking. See you back here Tuesday.
CBB – (875) UCLA vs. (876) KENTUCKY 9:35 ET CBS (side and total)
The wagering action on this highly anticipated rematch is favoring UCLA, who has gone from a Pick to -1.5 now over Kentucky. Also, despite both teams high scoring tendencies, the total has dropped two points to 167. I can understand why a segment of bettors are backing the Bruins, since they have a few more veteran players who can provide leadership during the rough spots of games. Also agree with the total coming down as both clubs have gotten used to playing slower against various competition and are far better defense teams than previous meeting.
Betting Trend – 57% backing UCLA and 52% on Under
Doug’s VPID Take – Leans UCLA and Under
NBA – (855) CLEVELAND at (856) CHARLOTTE 7:05 ET FSOH, FSS
While I can see the potential logic in sinking this Eastern Conference clash total from 215.5 to 213, having a hard time making a strong case for it. Charlotte’s offense can be as annoying as LaVar Ball, good one night and dreadful the next. For Cleveland, who is 0-3 ATS thus far on this four-game road trip, the Cavs have yet to hold one opponent under 51 percent shooting thus far. With Cleveland 26-10 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5 and 12-4 OVER off a road loss this season, this seems like one-way action.
Betting Trend – 82% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over
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NBA – (861) ATLANTA at (862) MILWAUKEE 8:05 ET NBA-TV
Talk about teams headed in opposite directions, this tilt definitely qualifies and those betting basketball are paying close attention. Atlanta has lost five in a row (1-4 ATS) and with a loss in the Brew City, would fall into a tie with Milwaukee for the No. 5 slot in the Eastern Conference. As for the Bucks, it looked like another missed playoff opportunity for this young squad, but they have jelled in winning 10 of 12 (9-3 ATS) and might be formidable in the postseason. Many bettors believe they will get the job done tonight and sportsbooks have raised the young Bucks from -4.5 to -6. Though the Hawks are scuffling, they are 7-3 and 6-3-1 ATS of late versus Milwaukee and could make this close.
Betting Trend – 59% backing Milwaukee
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Atlanta
CBB – Saturday - (517) ST. PETER’S at (518) TEXAS STATE 5:00 ET
Not exactly a marquee matchup on Saturday, but this CIT quarterfinal has attracted enough attention to have bettors checking the total out and lifted it from 116.5 to 119. Both teams on the season have an average total score in the 120′s and while St. Peter’s has a tendency to play in lower scoring affairs (16-10 UNDER), they still average 8 three-pointers a game and Texas State is 8-1 OVER after playing two consecutive games as a home favorite.
Betting Trend – 66% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 68-82-2 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 30-40-1 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 102-118-3 ATS