For line moves, the full gamut, baseball, preseason football and series betting on big AL clash. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (191-151 of late, including 41-29 run) to see what we are thinking. See you back here Tuesday.
NFLX – (415) MIAMI at (416) DALLAS 8:00 ET NFLN
Dallas is down from -4 to -3, having long been recognized as an organization that places little value in winning August football games and is instead focused on preparation for opening regular season contest. The Cowboys for a half looked very good against Los Angeles, but reserves were outplayed in second half for loss. Miami was sharp in grounding Giants 27-10 and road underdogs after allowing 14 points or less in last game, against opponent after leading in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half, are 24-6 ATS in the preseason.
Betting Trend – 54% backing Miami
Doug’s VPID Take – Miami covers
MLB – (913) ARIZONA at (914) SAN DIEGO 10:40 ET FSAZ, FSSD
Though Zack Greinke (11-4, 4.31 ERA) is coming off one of the worst starts of his career (9 runs, 10 hits in 1 2/3 innings), baseball bettors are willing to forgive him and taken Arizona from -130 to -145 road favorites. Simple answer as to why the D-Backs are being given the benefit of doubt. Greinke is 7-1 lifetime against San Diego, with a clean 1.91 ERA and teams he’s pitched for are 11-3 overall. Arizona’s offense is scoring 6.4 runs per game in last seven outings and they are 8-0 in road games off a one run loss versus a division rival the last two seasons. With the right-hander in goofy uniforms and teammates 8-1 on the road this year, have to like their chances.
Betting Trend – 74% backing Arizona
Doug’s VPID Take – Arizona wins
MLB – TORONTO (+110) at CLEVELAND (-130) – Series Betting
The way the pitching matchups line up, these should be three most interesting games. Cleveland is a small favorite in opener, with two often perplexing pitchers, Francisco Liriano and Trevor Bauer. The middle game could go Toronto’s way, with Aaron Sanchez more dependable than Josh Tomlin, especially of late. On Sunday, Corey Kluber duels with Marcus Stroman and if both have their A-stuff, should be fascinating. The Indians are little better in starting pitching and bullpen can be lights out late in games. Have to give the Tribe a very small edge.
Doug’s VPID – Cleveland wins
NFLX – Saturday – (419) CAROLINA at (416) TENNESSEE 3:00 ET Local TV
Tennessee manhandled San Diego 27-10 with a crushing running game that picked up 288 yards last week. That is how the Titans want to play, being physical at the point of attack. With Carolina a seemingly established squad after Super Bowl run, winning these games means less than to Tennessee and the Panthers have slipped from -1 to Pick. Nothing much to hang hat on here and will give slight lean to Titans at home and having a little more to play for.
Betting Trend – 79% backing Carolina
Doug’s VPID Take – Slight lean Tennessee
NFLX – Saturday - (429) SAN FRANCISCO at (430) DENVER 9:00 ET Local TV
The final scores from last week were about what you expect from these two teams, with San Francisco losing by 11 and Denver winning 22-0 at Chicago. Those betting football got the drift and have rode the Broncos from -3.5 to -5.5. The 49ers actually gained 409 yards last week, which sounds like a Chip Kelly run offense, but the Denver defense is a different breed. No question who the better club is, but the Broncos are 2-10 ATS in home games after a win by 10 or more points.
Betting Trend – 85% backing Denver
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean San Francisco
Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 160-148-1
Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 133-112-1
Line Movement Direction Record – 288-267-2