Sports Betting Line Moves and Free Picks for May 18th

May 18, 2016

Once again all quiet on the playoff front for the NBA and NHL for line moves, but ample action on the baseball diamond. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (59-49) to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.

MLB – (959) COLORADO at (960) ST. LOUIS  8:15  ET  ROOT-RM, FSMW (side and total)

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com	Adam Wainwright (3-3, 6.80 ERA) of the Cardinals said, “I’m starting over,” as well he should with opposing batters hitting .330 in his eight starts this season. Though the St. Louis right-hander is 6-1 with a 1.56 ERA in eight career starts versus Colorado, faith in him has sunk, with the Cards down 25 cents to -160. However, NL road underdogs of -150 or higher are with a team batting average of .275 or better are 6-41 since 2012. If you follow Wainwright’s struggles, the total creeping from 7.5 to 8 aligns properly.

Betting Trend – 81% backing St. Louis and 95% backing Over

Doug’s VPID Take - St. Louis wins and Over

MLB – (969) SEATTLE at (970) BALTIMORE 7:05 ET  ROOT-NW, MASN2

Solid pitching matchup tonight with Taijuan Walker (2-2, 2.63) facing off against Chris Tillman (5-1, 2.58). The majority of those in the wagering public are of the opinion Baltimore could well lose three in a row after snapping off seven consecutive victories, as the Orioles have flown from -135 to -110. Seattle’s offense has been more consistent lately and after last night’s impressive 10-0 drubbing of the Birds, they are only 10-20 after a win by four runs or more. This money line fits right into the O’s wheelhouse since they are 11-2 at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.

Betting Trend – 54% backing Baltimore

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Baltimore

MLB – (971) TAMPA BAY at (972) TORONTO 7:07 ET  SUN,RSN

R.A. Dickey (2-4, 4.31) has the hop back in the knuckleball. After five starts, the Toronto righty had a ERA sitting at 6.75, but in his last trio of outings he’s at superb 1.27. Nonetheless, with Tampa Bay mashing the Blue Jays the last two nights by a total score of 25-4, Toronto has tumbled from -143 to -125. Just keep in mind home teams after two straight games with at least seven less hits than their opponent, with a hot starting pitcher who’s ERA is less than 2.50 in his last three starts are 37-11 the last 19 years.

Betting Trend – 83% backing Toronto

Doug’s VPID Take – Toronto wins

MLB – (977) N.Y. YANKEES at (978) ARIZONA 9:40 ET  YES, FSAZ

While Nathan Eovaldi’s (3-2, 4.85) numbers do not scream success, they are far superior to those Shelby Miller (1-4, 6.94) for Arizona, which has propelled the Yankees from -120 to -140 and higher. The New York right-hander is 3-0 with a 3.96 ERA in his last four starts and is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in four starts against the Diamondbacks lifetime. With Miller’s inability to win hardly at all the last couple years and the Yankees 4-12 on the road this season, slim pickings, but I will lean with New York to avoid the sweep.

Betting Trend – 86% backing Arizona

Doug’s VPID Take – New York wins

 

Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 88-97-1

Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 65-56-1

Line Movement Direction Record – 158-144-2

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