Baseball bettors have been at odds with the linemakers for entire Royals and Yankees series and we have the line moves for the their latest disagreement. It is also the second consecutive night the Cardinals and Angels money line is on the move. These plays plus another MLB matchup and Game 7 with Nashville and San Jose on ice. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (51-41 of late) to see what we are thinking. See you back here on tomorrow.
MLB – (953) SAN DIEGO at (954) MILWAUKEE 8:10 ET FSSD (side and total)
Though San Diego is only a half game better than Milwaukee for the season, the Padres have slipped from +135 to +121 as road underdogs. Having taken a doubleheader yesterday from the best team in baseball the Cubs, has something to do with it. Both James Shields (1-5, 3.60 ERA) and Jimmy Nelson (4-2, 3.74) are coming off mediocre outings and bettors are convinced they will bounce back and lowered the total from 8 to 7.5. I will concur the Friars are feeling heavenly after sweep in Chicago and Shields is 7-0 in road games after giving up two or more home runs last outing the last three seasons. (Team’s record) Plus, I have two top trends on each team that are combined 27-4 OVER.
Betting Trend – 52% backing Milwaukee and 55% on Under
Doug’s VPID Take – San Diego wins and Over
MLB – (959) KANSAS CITY at (960) N.Y. YANKEES 7:05 ET FSKC, YES
With both these AL clubs averaging 3,7 or less runs per game, you can understand why the total could dip from 8 to 7.5. The Royals Ian Kennedy (4-2, 2.13) and has emerged as their best starter to date and the Yankees Nathan Eovaldi (2-2, 4.78) is always capable, like he was in last win when he threw 77 of his 107 pitches for strikes and topped 100 MPH five times. My first thought was this sure appears to have Over potential with Kansas City having scored seven runs in each of the last two nights and all three contests in the series coming in as OVER’s. However, Kennedy is 4-0 UNDER this season, 27-12 UNDER when the total is 7 to 8.5 since 2014 and Eovaldi is 8-3 UNDER in last 11 at Yankee Stadium.
Betting Trend – 69% backing Under
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Under
MLB – (965) ST. LOUIS at (966) L.A.A. ANGELS 10:05 ET FSMW, FSW
The Cardinals have won nine of 12 away from St. Louis after being swept at Pittsburgh to start the season, yet are diminishing road favorites in Anaheim. Though the Cards are the better squad over injury-ravaged L.A.A., because of Adam Wainwright’s (2-3, 6.30) ineffectiveness, there are doubters even against the Halos offense which is averaging putrid 2.9 RPG at the Big A. St. Louis is down 10 cents to -130, but take on Angels club is they are 26-47 as an underdog of +100 to +150 since last season.
Betting Trend – 60% backing St. Louis
Doug’s VPID Take – St. Louis wins
NHL – (83) NASHVILLE at (84) SAN JOSE 9:05 ET NBCSN
Funny how different the postseason can be from the regular season. San Jose was among the weaker home teams all season after being one of the best since 2010 at the Shark Tank, but this year had the best road record at 28-10-3. Yet in this Western semifinal, it has all been about the home team, winners of all six confrontations. Early pucks players are convinced this trend will continue and the Sharks swam from -165 to -175.
Betting Trend – 89% backing San Jose
Doug’s VPID Take - San Jose wins
Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 84-90-1
Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 63-54-1
Line Movement Direction Record – 147-140-2