Today starts the first full week of June and on Monday we have line moves on the diamond and on the ice. Also, you should not believe the public is always wrong, as our 80-plus percent consensus proves with a solid 85-69-1 record, which is 55.1 percent accurate. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (91-66, 57.9% of late) to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.
MLB – (907) COLORADO at (908) L.A. DODGERS 10:10 ET RTRM, SNLA
It would appear bettors are looking at the Dodgers weekend accomplishes and the failures of Colorado and passing judgments. Los Angeles swept Atlanta at home, which looked very similar to a Cavaliers vs. Warriors games this month. The Rockies have lost seven of nine and have gone from +120 to +130 road underdogs. Before you think this is as automatic with the Dodgers 14-5 hosting Colorado the last couple years, consider the Rocks Tyler Chatwood who is 4-0 (Rockies 5-0) on the road this season, with sick 0.53 ERA and under 0.90 WHIP. Not saying Colorado is a certain winner, just take another look with L.A. 5-12 after scoring 10 runs or more the last three seasons.
Betting Trend – 81% backing L.A. Dodgers
Doug’s VPID Take – Slight lean Colorado
MLB – (909) L.A.A. ANGELS at (910) N.Y. YANKEES 7:05 ET ESPN2
The Angels rallied with four runs in last three innings to win at Pittsburgh 5-4, while the Yankees came out of eighth inning rain delay with 1-0 lead and lost 3-1 at Baltimore. New York starter Masahiro Tanaka (3-1, 2.78 ERA) has 0.90 ERA in last three starts, yet his club is down from -160 home favorites to -147 or less. The Halos Matt Shoemaker (3-6, 5.50) is part of the reason for slippage despite his ERA, with a 1.59 ERA in his last three starts and in that period of 22 2/3 inning, he has 31 strikeouts and zero walks. Like to make a case for the Angels, but they are 5-14 playing against a team with a losing record this season.
Betting Trend – 84% backing New York
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean New York
MLB – (915) HOUSTON at (916) TEXAS 8:05 ET RTSW, FSSW
The battle of Texas resumes and Houston and baseball bettors like their chances tonight with the Astros a far better team than the one the Rangers faced earlier this year. Houston has climbed to within two games of .500 by winning 11 of 13. The next hurdle is as much mental as physical, having lost six straight to Texas this season and 16 of 22 in Arlington. The Astros have blossomed from +100 underdogs to -120 favorites, despite Texas starter Colby Lewis (5-0, 3.09) sporting 10-1 record with 2.50 ERA versus Houston. Too inviting to pass on Rangers.
Betting Trend – 92% backing Texas
Doug’s VPID Take - Texas wins
NHL – (57) PITTSBURGH at (58) SAN JOSE 8:05 ET NBC
San Jose has yet to lead by a single second in the Stanley Cup Finals, yet is only down 2-1 to Pittsburgh. The Sharks opened as -140 home favorites for Game 4, but have fallen to -128 or lower, as they have largely been outplayed in each contest for expanses of time, thanks to the Penguins superior speed and underrated defense. Amazingly, San Jose is only 26-25 SU at the Shark Tank this season and is 3-8 home after allowing two goals or less in two straight games, which is why I prefer Pitt.
Betting Trend – 84% backing San Jose
Doug’s VPID Take – Pittsburgh wins
Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 98-105-1
Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 85-69-1
Line Movement Direction Record – 184-173-2