It is leap year day, but these line moves do not happen every four years, they occur all the time in the NBA and college basketball. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks, which are on nice 14-9 run, to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.
NBA – (701) INDIANA at (702) CLEVELAND 7:05 ET NBA-TV
No LeBron meant no effort from Cleveland yesterday as they were whipped by Washington 113-99. Indiana barely did any better defensively on Sunday either in 111-102 home loss to Portland. Despite the lack of intensity on defense, the total has come down four points to 203.5 points, even with the former King expected back in uniform. Neither offense has been that sharp in past four outings, with the Pacers and Cavaliers at 99.5 points a game. No overly strong conviction, other than having Cleveland 17-8 UNDER after a combined score of 205 points or more this season.
Betting Trend – 71% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Under
NBA – (707) HOUSTON at (708) MILWAUKEE 8:05 ET RT-SW, FSWI
Two scuffling teams who seem disjointed and disengaged meet in the Brew City. Houston has been a large disappointment and is likely quick exit from the postseason if they happen to make it. After looking like a team on the rise a year ago, Milwaukee plays like a bunch of individuals worried about stats and not winning. This is not lost on those betting basketball, as both leave quite a bit to be desired defensively and shifted the total from 212.5 to 215.5. The Bucks are 21st in defensive efficiency and the Rockets are 25th. Houston is 19-10 OVER in road games this season, just not sure Milwaukee’s 25th ranked offense will even score enough against the Rockets at this number.
Betting Trend – 88% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take - Lean Under
CBB – (717) SYRACUSE at (718) NORTH CAROLINA 7:00 ET ESPN
North Carolina once again proved they are not mentally strong enough to beat the top teams and fell to Virginia Saturday. Fortunately for them, Syracuse does not fit that profile and is a good club, but not elite, and the Tar Heels are being taken from -11.5 to -13.5 in the Chapel Hill finale. North Carolina can still be the top seed in ACC by winning out, but is paltry 6-10 ATS in conference play. Maybe the Heels step up like they did against Miami like they did nine days ago after setback, but they are 4-12 ATS in ACC action since last year at home.
Betting Trend – 58% backing Syracuse
Doug’s VPID Take - Lean Syracuse
CBB – (717) KANSAS at (718) TEXAS 9:00 ET ESPN
Texas is looking to do what Kansas did eight years ago, beat two Top 3 teams in back to back games. The Longhorns closing 22-0 crescendo buried No.3 Oklahoma 76-63 Saturday. Since losing in Lawrence on Jan. 23rd, the Longhorns are 7-3 and 8-2 ATS and appear to be very treacherous team to play in Big 12 tourney and beyond. But Kansas has wrapped up at least share of 12th consecutive conference crown and wins it outright with a victory. The Jayhawks has the support of the wagering masses and been lifted from -1.5 to -3. Should be outstanding battle and both my power ratings have Kansas by 2, thus the slightest of leans with the Horns.
Betting Trend – 68% backing Kansas
Doug’s VPID Take – Slight lean Texas
Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 24-21
Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 12-15-1
Line Movement Direction Record – 37-34-1