As we head into the next month on the calendar, today line moves has three plays for today to review, plus baseball series wagering to consider for the weekend. If any big moves occur in the playoffs in basketball or hockey, we will have an update for you. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks, which are winning consistently at 35-25, to see what we are thinking. See you back here on Monday.
NBA – (711) TORONTO at (712) INDIANA 7:35 ET NBA-TV
It is Game 6 in this playoff series and after four straight Under’s, the last contest produced a higher score than anticipated by the sportsbooks. For this encounter, the opening total of 196 has been ditched, with adjusted total at 194, which is in line within a point of the other matchups in the series. Seeing where we are in the series, a lower score makes sense and after the Indiana had big first half and big lead over Toronto before losing, they are 10-1 UNDER after scoring 60 points or more in the first half of last game this season.
Betting Trend – 68% backing Under
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Under
MLB – (925) HOUSTON at (926) OAKLAND 10:05 ET ROOT-SW, CSN-CA
Of the teams expected to be in last place in baseball, Houston was not one them. At miserable 7-15, the Astros have some work to do and take on Oakland squad who wore down at the end of long road trip, finishing 1-5. Houston salvaged one game against Seattle and bettors are of the opinion they can win two straight and keep the A’s down, lifting the ‘Stros from -105 to -130. Houston has the more experienced starter in Mike Fiers (2-1, 5.73 ERA) against the A’s Sean Manaea , who makes his major league debut. With Astros 3-9 on the road and the Athletics 3-7 at home, not much to choose from.
Betting Trend – 56% backing Houston
Doug’s VPID Take – Slight Lean Oakland
NHL – (5) ST. LOUIS at (6) DALLAS 8:05 ET NBCSN
It is Game 1 between the two biggest point producers in the Western Conference. It is your classic confrontation, with Dallas the top scoring team in the NHL and St. Louis No. 4 in fewest goals allowed during the regular season. Somewhat surprisingly the Blues are actually favored to win the series by oddmakers in spite of not having home ice advantage and this is being reflected in first contest, with the Stars falling from -125 to -115. St. Louis won four of five this season and with three days off and being 7-0 in road games against good passing teams averaging five or more assists per game in the second half of the season since last year, might be a good play.
Betting Trend – 95% backing Dallas
Doug’s VPID Take - Lean St. Louis
Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 77-78-1
Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 53-45-1
Line Movement Direction Record – 126-123-2
MLB - WASHINGTON (-110) at ST. LOUIS (-110) – Series Betting
This sets up to be a really good series between two NL clubs who expect to be in the postseason. Washington has the advantage in opener with Stephen Strasburg going against Mike Leake. The middle contest feels like a tossup with young Joe Ross versus Jaime Garcia and the finale looks exceptional with Max Scherzer facing Carlos Martinez. With Mad Max not very good dating back to mid-season of last year with ERA over 4.25, prefer the Cardinals in that one and believe the Redbirds pull off minor upset to start the series giving them what they need to win.
Doug’s VPID Take – Play St. Louis at -110
MLB - N.Y.YANKEES (+120) at BOSTON (-140) – Series Betting
New York has won 13 of last 18 at Fenway, but that could turn this weekend. The Yankees have the edge in the opener with Masahiro Tanaka but after that, Michael Pinada and Nathan Eovaldi are likely underdogs to Rick Porcello and David Price. Porcello has gone back to what he does best in being ground ball pitcher and while Price has hardly been right, he’s the better choice at home against the Bronx Bombers and is 13-7 lifetime against them.
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Boston at -140
MLB – KANSAS CITY (+120) at SEATTLE (-140) – Series Betting
The World Series champs were swept just west of Disneyland and it does not get easier in lid-lifter against Seattle with Felix Hernandez taking the ball. Game 2 is more likely to go the Royals way with Yordano Ventura going head to head with overrated Wade Miley for the Mariners. Though the M’s will be favored to close out the series with a victory because of Taijuan Walker facing Ian Kennedy, could see K.C. keeping this close and winning in the late innings for a series triumph.
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Kansas City at +120