Though not as many games in the various sports over the weekend, we have all the biggest line moves covered in all the sports to start your week. Golden State is down from 221 to 218.5, with most expecting Stephen Curry to sit or see diminished minutes. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks, which are warming up again at 15-9, to see what we are thinking. See you back here on tomorrow.
NBA – (517) INDIANA at (518) TORONTO 7:05 ET NBA-TV
So much for Toronto being ready for the postseason, as their backcourt was pathetic in 100-90 loss to Indiana. The first game total closed at 195 and oddsmakers made adjustment to 193. Basketball bettors do not agree and moved them this up to 194.5. Being a touchdown underdog in Game 2, it would be easy to support the Pacers since they are 13-4 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. However, the Raptors are 17-6 OVER after a loss by 10 or more points and Indiana is 17-6 OVER in a road game when the total is between 190 and 194.5 points.
Betting Trend – 73% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Over
NBA – (519) DALLAS at (520) OKLAHOMA CITY 8:05 ET TNT
So much for playoff basketball, as Dallas scored 70 points at Oklahoma City thanks to shooting 29.8 percent. It might only get marginally better with J.J. Barea and David Lee out and guard Deron Williams doubtful. The starting total of 203.5 has been lowered to 201. With so few weapons, the Thunder’s defensive job is much easier and the Mavericks are13-4 UNDER in road games after a loss by 10 points or more the last two seasons.
Betting Trend – 63% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take - Play Under
MLB – (957) CHIC. CUBS at (958) ST. LOUIS 8:05 ET ESPN
With lack year’s playoff loss and St. Louis players leaving to play for the Cubs, this once generally friendly rivalry is about to be amped up. Chicago is the darlings of baseball and the Cardinals have been relegated to a lesser class. In this opening clash of the series, the Cubs were released as -115 favorites with former Redbirds starter John Lackey on the mound, but by midday, St. Louis was -110 home favorite. Though the Cards have not faced a lot of great starting pitching, after two weeks they still are averaging 7.1 runs a game. Mike Leake has gotten off to poor start with his new team with a 6.97 ERA, yet Chicago only tallied seven runs on 15 hits at Wrigley in losing series to Colorado. I’ll backing the hotter hitting club that is 18-3 at home after a one run win since last season.
Betting Trend – 88% backing Chicago
Doug’s VPID Take – St. Louis wins
NHL – (1) WASHINGTON at (2) PHILADELPHIA 7:05 ET NBCSN
With Philadelphia down 0-2 in the series to Washington, that should be enough motivation, but before the game the Flyers will honor founder Ed Snider, who passed away a week ago. If this doesn’t have the Flyers flying around the ice, do not know what would and they have been lowered from +130 home underdogs to +120. For my money this is still the Capitals we are talking about, who have better players and goaltender in Braden Holtby. With Philly 1-10 after two straight losses by two goals or more, the better team is the choice.
Betting Trend – 53% backing Washington
Doug’s VPID Take – Washington wins
Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 66-72
Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 43-37-1
Line Movement Direction Record – 109-103-1