With so much afternoon baseball action, difficult to get to the line moves on those games that were altered, thus focused our attention to the night action on the diamond and on the ice. The direction of the line moves was 4-0 yesterday and is 7-1 the last couple days. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.
MLB – (959) CINCINNATI at (960) CHIC. CUBS 8:05 ET FSOH, CSCH
The Chicago Cubs offense has been lethal in averaging 7 runs a game this season, but evidently Reds starter Raisel Iglesias has a chance to cool them off, as the total has sunk from 7.5 to 7. Igesias did have a 2.84 ERA in two starts as a rookie last year against Chicago. The Cubs Jason Hammel will start for them and he’s more effective before the All-Star break than after it and will look to keep Cincinnati offense off-balance on the road, having scored five runs in two games at Wrigley Field. You would think the Cubs offense would keep rolling, but they are 14-4 UNDER after three or more consecutive Over’s since last season.
Betting Trend – 74% backing Under
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Under
MLB – (961) ARIZONA at (962) L.A. DODGERS 10:10 ET FSAZ, SNLA
Arizona goes after their first series win of the season, while Los Angeles looks to avoid dropping two in a row at Chavez Ravine. The Dodgers with Ross Stripling were sent out as -165 favorites, but have been lowered to -130. Stripling makes his second career start having yet to give up a hit, being pulled with no-hitter after 7 1/3 innings, having reached 100-pitch limit. He will face Robby Roy for the D-Backs, who was 2-2 with an effective 2.28 ERA against the Dodgers last year. The Snakes and Roy might be worth a look with their 19-7 mark as a road underdog of +100 to +125.
Betting Trend – 93% backing Los Angeles
Doug’s VPID Take - Lean Arizona
MLB – (969) BALTIMORE at (970) TEXAS 8:05 ET MASN2, FSSW
Baltimore suffered their first defeat of the season yesterday, scoring a season-low two runs. The Orioles might not tally many more than that facing Cole Hamels, as their road trip continues with four in Texas. The Birds will use their best hurler in Chris Tillman, who has 10 strikeouts in seven innings this season with 1.29 ERA. With the current form of both starters, the total has dipped from 8.5 to 8. I have the numbers to support either side, nonetheless, if both starting pitchers throw normal games and the Rangers bullpen does not continue to be pathetic or anywhere near as effective as the Orioles, I’ll step out and agree with the line movement.
Betting Trend – 73% backing Under
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over
NHL – (57) PHILADELPHIA at (58) WASHINGTON 7:05 ET NBCSN
NHL – (61) MINNESOTA at (62) DALLAS 9:35 ET NBCSN
Both top seeds are in action for the first time in the Stanley Cup playoffs and both are growing home favorites. Washington opened at -210 and has been bet up to -230 over Philadelphia, while Dallas is up 15 cents from -170 to -185. The Stars would seem to be the safer wager with Minnesota slumping, while the Flyers put together 15-5-3 closing rush to make the postseason. Unless both favorites are sleep-skating (you can sleep walk in ice), the chalk is the way to go tonight.
Betting Trend – 93% backing Washington and Dallas
Doug’s VPID Take - Washington and Dallas win
Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 66-69
Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 39-35-1
Line Movement Direction Record – 105-99-1