Sports Betting Line Moves and Free Picks for April 12th

April 12, 2016

If you followed the direction of the line moves yesterday, you made a nice chunk of change as they were a perfect 5-0. The NBA has a number of line moves today, however, most are predicated on players resting for playoff bound teams. In addition, somebody does not like the Nationals, down over 40 cents again at home against Atlanta. Also, take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.

NBA – (501) NEW YORK at (502) INDIANA  7:05 ET  FSIN, MSG

Safely in the postseason, Indiana does not figure to rest its starters tonight because they want to avoid meeting nemesis Cleveland in first round of the NBA playoffs. In order for that to occur, the Pacers have to win last two contests and NBA bettors think they can pull this off at least tonight, taking Indy from -8.5 to -11. While there is no way to know the mental state of New York for their final game, they have covered five of six and are 21-11 ATS as a road underdog this season.

Betting Trend – 68% backing Indiana

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean New York

MLB – (951) ARIZONA at (952) L.A. DODGERS 4:10 ET  MLBN

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.comIt is the Dodgers home opener and they will showcase their newest pitcher Kenta Maeda, taking the mound one day after his 28th birthday. Los Angeles had a rough go in San Francisco, as they allowed 6.5 runs per game to the Giants after holding San Diego scoreless for an entire series. Meada threw six scoreless innings in his first big league start and hit a home run, yet his team has fallen from -165 to -140 favorites against the supposedly underachieving Diamondbacks. Arizona is coming off disappointing 2-5 homestand and has nasty three-stop road trip in California, in division. Patrick Corbin goes for the Snakes and he’s lost three straight to L.A. and his teammates have dropped 15 of the last 18 meetings at Chavez Ravine.

Betting Trend – 89% backing Los Angeles

Doug’s VPID Take – Los Angeles wins

MLB – (959) SAN FRANCISCO at (960) COLORADO 8:40 ET  CSN-BA, ROOT-RM

The Giants Jeff Samardzija will try and cool off baseball’s best early season story, Trevor Story of Colorado. The rookie is locked in at the dish with MLB record seven homers in six games to start career. Samardzija had a fairly typical outing for him in first start (three runs allowed in 5 1/2 innings), however, he has handcuffed Colorado with 2-0 record and a 2.01 ERA in three career starts against the Rockies and has posted a 1.88 mark over 14 1/3 total innings at Coors. Nonetheless, San Francisco has dipped from -120 to under -110, despite hitting at least one ball over the fence in first seven games for first time in 103 years. The Giants come in 23-6 after scoring eight runs or more.

Betting Trend – 72% backing San Francisco

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean San Francisco

MLB – (967) KANSAS CITY at (968) HOUSTON 8:05 ET MLBN

In this AL championship rematch, Game 2 of the series has seen the total slip from 8.5 to 8. In spite of Kansas City having winning record, the offense has started slowing at 3.5 runs per game. The pitching matchup of Kris Medlen vs. Mike Fiers does not instill confidence of a lower scoring affair, thought we would be miss not to mention Fiers is 24-10 UNDER in his career against winning teams. Still, the Royals are 22-11 OVER in road games after a loss and 14-5 OVER versus a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse.

Betting Trend – 77% backing Over

Doug’s VPID Take - Play Over

 

Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 62-67

Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 38-34-1

Line Movement Direction Record – 98-98-1

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