Sports Betting Line Moves and Free Picks for April 11

April 11, 2016

Baseball openers continue today, but for line moves the action is pretty quiet. On the diamond  a few heavy favorites have really dropped and we have a couple of them covered, plus a look at at contests on the hardwood. Also, take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.

NBA – (707) WASHINGTON at (708) BROOKLYN  7:35 ET CSN-MA, YES

With Washington officially eliminated and Brooklyn playing like the season ended a week ago, the total has jumped from 208.5 to 212. With the Wizards averaging 109.8 points per game in last 11 and the Nets permitting 115.5 PPG in their past nine, it is easy to understand why basketball bettors are following these scoring trends. These teams met just five days ago and rang up 230 points, little reason this cannot happen again.

Betting Trend – 83% backing Over

Doug’s VPID Take - Play Over

NBA – (711) CHICAGO at (712) NEW ORLEANS 8:05 ET  CSN-C, FSNO

A very disappointing campaign for Chicago, who will not make the playoffs. New Orleans will also being sitting home the rest of spring and summer and part of their failures which led to their derailed season was a plethora of injuries. The Bulls were sent from -3 to -4.5, but do they even really care about this contest? Granted, the Pelicans just lost by 21 at home to Phoenix, but even with that bad loss, they still have covered six of eight, starting what looks like a top shelf D-League club.

Betting Trend – 95% backing Chicago

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean New Orleans

MLB – (905) ATLANTA at (906) WASHINGTON 7:05 ET FSS, MASN2 (side and total)

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.comGiven the Atlanta bullpen has a 8.66 ERA, it makes all the sense in the world for the total in this NL East encounter to rise from 7 to 7.5, even if Max Scherzer is Washington starting pitcher. What makes less sense is the Nationals sliding from -290 to -240. This does not necessarily make Washington any more attractive on the money line, but at the adjusted run line price of -110 on the Nats, they are certainly a better value in that that role. Where this turns ugly is the Washington is only scoring 3.7 RPG and they are 11-23 on the RL with Scherzer taking the ball.

Betting Trend – 64% backing Over and 71% on Washington for RL

Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over and slight lean Atlanta on RL

MLB – (917) L.A.A. ANGELS at (918) OAKLAND 10:05 ET FSW, CSN-CA

With sweep at Seattle and now back home with ace Sonny Gray on the mound, Oakland was made anywhere from a -170 to -180 home favorite over their division rivals from Anaheim. Then the betting action began and the A’s like a leaf from a windblown tree fell to -145. Gray is 5-2 (A’s 6-4 all starts) with a solid 3.28 ERA against the Angels, but some dude named Nick Tropeano is 2-0 with 0.71 ERA against the Athletics. This rivalry generally favors the road team which explains why the Halos are being given a chance.

Betting Trend – 61% backing L.A.A.

Doug’s VPID Take - Lean L.A.A

 

Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 59-67

Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 36-34-1

Line Movement Direction Record – 94-97-1

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