It’s Thursday and for line moves that means a variety pack of sports and free picks which includes hockey for the first time. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (285-224 of late and recent 70-50 mark), when we post them, to see what we are thinking. See you back tomorrow.
NFL – (103) DENVER at (104) SAN DIEGO 8:25 ET CBS
Evidently sharper football bettors are not seeing whole lot of points for this AFC West confrontation and have lowered the total from 46 to 44. The Denver defense speaks for itself and there is still speculation in Vegas and offshore if Trevor Siemian is indeed the starter, will his shoulder hold up or will Paxton Lynch have to come out of the bullpen again. When the total is between 42.5 and 49 points and a team like the Chargers have gone over the total by more than 14 points in two consecutive games, the UNDER is 37-11.
Betting Trend – 61% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Under
MLB – (961) L.A. DODGERS at (962) WASHINGTON 8:05 ET FS1
Max Scherzer can be absolutely dominant and that is what those betting baseball are counting in decisive 5th game, moving Washington from -140 to -150 over Los Angeles. Scherzer and the teams he’s pitched for are only 2-7 against the Dodgers, but Rich Hill loses deception factor in quick turnaround versus Nationals and L.A. is ugly 4-15 as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season.
Betting Trend – 82% backing Washington
Doug’s VPID Take - Washington wins
NHL – (51) BOSTON at (52) COLUMBUS 7:05 ET NESN, FSOH
It is the lid-lifter for these two clubs and Columbus was sent out on journey as -110 favorite and came back as -130 favorite. Main reason is Boston injuries to three key players, two who are defenders, which give the Blue Jackets a chance to capitalize. Though the Bruins has won 7 of 11 in Ohio, my numbers support a Columbus victory.
Betting Trend – 59% backing Columbus
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Columbus
NHL – (53) MONTREAL at (54) BUFFALO 7:05 ET RDS
This contest opened as a Pick, but once it was found out budding superstar Jack Eichel suffered a severe ankle injury and will be out one to two months for Buffalo, Montreal popped up to -125 on the money line. However, for one game I don’t think it matters and will take the Sabres to shine and move to 35-21-1 on home ice against the Canadiens.
Betting Trend – 83% backing Montreal
Doug’s VPID Take – Buffalo wins
Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 224-196-2
Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 152-120-1
Line Movement Direction Record – 381-338-3